Recent official forecasts from multiple models indicate Istanbul's overnight low on September 1 will likely reach 20–22°C under clear skies, light northeast winds, and moderate humidity near 80–85%, consistent with early-September maritime conditions influenced by the Sea of Marmara. This keeps probabilities clustered around 17–22°C as traders weigh minor differences in nocturnal radiative cooling rates and boundary-layer mixing across GFS, ECMWF, and regional runs. Historical September minima average near 20°C, providing a baseline, while the absence of cold-air advection or significant cloud cover reduces the chance of readings at or below 16°C. Updated model outputs tonight and early tomorrow will refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月1日伊斯坦布爾最低溫度？
9月1日伊斯坦布爾最低溫度？
22°C 99%
21°C 20%
18°C 16%
19°C 16%
$1,125 交易量
$1,125 交易量
2026-09-01
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
22°C 99%
21°C 20%
18°C 16%
19°C 16%
$1,125 交易量
$1,125 交易量
2026-09-01
16°C or below
$175 交易量
No
17°C
$15 交易量
No
18°C
$0 交易量
No
19°C
$0 交易量
No
20°C
$0 交易量
No
21°C
$0 交易量
No
22°C
$201 交易量
Yes
23°C
$75 交易量
No
24°C
$75 交易量
No
25°C
$20 交易量
No
26°C or higher
$564 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from multiple models indicate Istanbul's overnight low on September 1 will likely reach 20–22°C under clear skies, light northeast winds, and moderate humidity near 80–85%, consistent with early-September maritime conditions influenced by the Sea of Marmara. This keeps probabilities clustered around 17–22°C as traders weigh minor differences in nocturnal radiative cooling rates and boundary-layer mixing across GFS, ECMWF, and regional runs. Historical September minima average near 20°C, providing a baseline, while the absence of cold-air advection or significant cloud cover reduces the chance of readings at or below 16°C. Updated model outputs tonight and early tomorrow will refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$1,125結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from multiple models indicate Istanbul's overnight low on September 1 will likely reach 20–22°C under clear skies, light northeast winds, and moderate humidity near 80–85%, consistent with early-September maritime conditions influenced by the Sea of Marmara. This keeps probabilities clustered around 17–22°C as traders weigh minor differences in nocturnal radiative cooling rates and boundary-layer mixing across GFS, ECMWF, and regional runs. Historical September minima average near 20°C, providing a baseline, while the absence of cold-air advection or significant cloud cover reduces the chance of readings at or below 16°C. Updated model outputs tonight and early tomorrow will refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,125結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Recent official forecasts from multiple models indicate Istanbul's overnight low on September 1 will likely reach 20–22°C under clear skies, light northeast winds, and moderate humidity near 80–85%, consistent with early-September maritime conditions influenced by the Sea of Marmara. This keeps probabilities clustered around 17–22°C as traders weigh minor differences in nocturnal radiative cooling rates and boundary-layer mixing across GFS, ECMWF, and regional runs. Historical September minima average near 20°C, providing a baseline, while the absence of cold-air advection or significant cloud cover reduces the chance of readings at or below 16°C. Updated model outputs tonight and early tomorrow will refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions