**Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and regional ensembles indicate an overnight minimum near 18–19°C for Istanbul on September 21, 2026, consistent with the market’s near-even odds on 18°C and 19°C.** Partly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and moderate humidity levels are limiting strong radiative cooling while preventing significant warming from advection, keeping the low in a narrow band. Recent observations show daily minima trending 16–18°C amid a mild late-summer air mass, with model spreads arising mainly from small differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing overnight. Official station readings, updated hourly through the meteorological day ending at 21:00 local time, will resolve the exact value among the tightly contested outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月21日伊斯坦布爾的最低溫度？
9月21日伊斯坦布爾的最低溫度？
15°C或以下 98%
16°C 90%
18°C 49%
17°C 46%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
15°C或以下
98%
16°C
90%
17°C
46%
18°C
49%
19°C
50%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C或以上
<1%
15°C或以下 98%
16°C 90%
18°C 49%
17°C 46%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
15°C或以下
$0 交易量
98%
16°C
$0 交易量
90%
17°C
$6 交易量
46%
18°C
$5 交易量
49%
19°C
$11 交易量
50%
20°C
$187 交易量
<1%
21°C
$30 交易量
<1%
22°C
$165 交易量
<1%
23°C
$91 交易量
<1%
24°C
$96 交易量
<1%
25°C或以上
$37 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and regional ensembles indicate an overnight minimum near 18–19°C for Istanbul on September 21, 2026, consistent with the market’s near-even odds on 18°C and 19°C.**
Partly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and moderate humidity levels are limiting strong radiative cooling while preventing significant warming from advection, keeping the low in a narrow band. Recent observations show daily minima trending 16–18°C amid a mild late-summer air mass, with model spreads arising mainly from small differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing overnight. Official station readings, updated hourly through the meteorological day ending at 21:00 local time, will resolve the exact value among the tightly contested outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$628結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and regional ensembles indicate an overnight minimum near 18–19°C for Istanbul on September 21, 2026, consistent with the market’s near-even odds on 18°C and 19°C.**
Partly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and moderate humidity levels are limiting strong radiative cooling while preventing significant warming from advection, keeping the low in a narrow band. Recent observations show daily minima trending 16–18°C amid a mild late-summer air mass, with model spreads arising mainly from small differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing overnight. Official station readings, updated hourly through the meteorological day ending at 21:00 local time, will resolve the exact value among the tightly contested outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$628結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ET**Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and regional ensembles indicate an overnight minimum near 18–19°C for Istanbul on September 21, 2026, consistent with the market’s near-even odds on 18°C and 19°C.** Partly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and moderate humidity levels are limiting strong radiative cooling while preventing significant warming from advection, keeping the low in a narrow band. Recent observations show daily minima trending 16–18°C amid a mild late-summer air mass, with model spreads arising mainly from small differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing overnight. Official station readings, updated hourly through the meteorological day ending at 21:00 local time, will resolve the exact value among the tightly contested outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions