Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and European numerical weather prediction runs point to a minimum temperature in Istanbul on August 31 near 19–21°C under clear skies and light northeasterly flow. Radiative cooling overnight, aided by low humidity and calm winds, will drive the daily low just before dawn, while a stable high-pressure ridge limits cloud cover and moisture that could otherwise moderate temperatures. Minor disagreements among model ensembles on exact wind speed and boundary-layer mixing create the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 20–22°C. Updated guidance from regional meteorological agencies on August 30 evening will provide the final data release before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於伊斯坦布爾8月31日的最低溫度?
18°C 50%
19°C 50%
24°C 50%
22°C 27%
17°C or below
1%
18°C
50%
19°C
50%
20°C
26%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
50%
25°C
8%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
<1%
18°C 50%
19°C 50%
24°C 50%
22°C 27%
17°C or below
1%
18°C
50%
19°C
50%
20°C
26%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
50%
25°C
8%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and European numerical weather prediction runs point to a minimum temperature in Istanbul on August 31 near 19–21°C under clear skies and light northeasterly flow. Radiative cooling overnight, aided by low humidity and calm winds, will drive the daily low just before dawn, while a stable high-pressure ridge limits cloud cover and moisture that could otherwise moderate temperatures. Minor disagreements among model ensembles on exact wind speed and boundary-layer mixing create the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 20–22°C. Updated guidance from regional meteorological agencies on August 30 evening will provide the final data release before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions