Persistent southwest monsoon activity, confirmed by PAGASA observations and multiple forecast models, is driving widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and heavy rainfall across Metro Manila on August 30. These conditions limit daytime solar heating and evaporative cooling effects, capping maximum temperatures near or below the seasonal average. Official guidance and ensemble forecasts from sources including GFS and regional models cluster daily highs in the 27–30°C range, with 29–31°C appearing most consistent under current steering patterns and moisture profiles. The resulting market-implied odds reflect traders weighting these near-term meteorological constraints over historical August baselines.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
8月30日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
30°C 35%
29°C 25%
31°C 20%
28°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
9%
29°C
25%
30°C
35%
31°C
20%
32°C
5%
33°C
<1%
34°C或更高
<1%
30°C 35%
29°C 25%
31°C 20%
28°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
24°C或以下
$161 交易量
<1%
25°C
$228 交易量
<1%
26°C
$103 交易量
1%
27°C
$149 交易量
5%
28°C
$751 交易量
9%
29°C
$1,757 交易量
25%
30°C
$136 交易量
35%
31°C
$132 交易量
20%
32°C
$312 交易量
5%
33°C
$13 交易量
<1%
34°C或更高
$196 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity, confirmed by PAGASA observations and multiple forecast models, is driving widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and heavy rainfall across Metro Manila on August 30. These conditions limit daytime solar heating and evaporative cooling effects, capping maximum temperatures near or below the seasonal average. Official guidance and ensemble forecasts from sources including GFS and regional models cluster daily highs in the 27–30°C range, with 29–31°C appearing most consistent under current steering patterns and moisture profiles. The resulting market-implied odds reflect traders weighting these near-term meteorological constraints over historical August baselines.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$3,939結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity, confirmed by PAGASA observations and multiple forecast models, is driving widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and heavy rainfall across Metro Manila on August 30. These conditions limit daytime solar heating and evaporative cooling effects, capping maximum temperatures near or below the seasonal average. Official guidance and ensemble forecasts from sources including GFS and regional models cluster daily highs in the 27–30°C range, with 29–31°C appearing most consistent under current steering patterns and moisture profiles. The resulting market-implied odds reflect traders weighting these near-term meteorological constraints over historical August baselines.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,939結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETPersistent southwest monsoon activity, confirmed by PAGASA observations and multiple forecast models, is driving widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and heavy rainfall across Metro Manila on August 30. These conditions limit daytime solar heating and evaporative cooling effects, capping maximum temperatures near or below the seasonal average. Official guidance and ensemble forecasts from sources including GFS and regional models cluster daily highs in the 27–30°C range, with 29–31°C appearing most consistent under current steering patterns and moisture profiles. The resulting market-implied odds reflect traders weighting these near-term meteorological constraints over historical August baselines.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions