**Persistent warm, humid conditions with widespread cloud cover and easterly flow are anchoring trader expectations for Miami’s daily minimum temperature on August 31 near 80–81 °F.** Official forecasts from the National Weather Service, WindBorne, and other models project an overnight low of 81–82 °F under mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and light east-southeast winds. These conditions limit radiational cooling, keeping surface temperatures elevated compared with the long-term average low of ~77.5 °F for the date. Recent days have featured above-normal warmth, including a 100 °F high on August 18, reinforcing the current pattern. The market’s heavy weighting on 80–81 °F (46.5 %) and 78–79 °F (31 %) reflects this guidance, while the modest probability assigned to cooler bins (76–77 °F at 11 %) accounts for possible model shifts or localized clearing. Higher bins above 82 °F carry low odds because sustained moisture and cloud cover make significant overnight warming unlikely. Updated model runs and any changes in convective coverage overnight will be the main near-term drivers of probability adjustments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月31日邁阿密的最低溫度？
8月31日邁阿密的最低溫度？
80-81°F 47%
78-79°F 29%
82-83°F 16%
76-77°F 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
華氏73度或以下
3%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
12%
78-79°F
29%
80-81°F
47%
82-83°F
16%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92°F或更高
1%
80-81°F 47%
78-79°F 29%
82-83°F 16%
76-77°F 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
華氏73度或以下
$10 交易量
3%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
5%
76-77°F
$47 交易量
12%
78-79°F
$147 交易量
29%
80-81°F
$76 交易量
47%
82-83°F
$17 交易量
16%
84-85°F
$113 交易量
2%
86-87°F
$160 交易量
1%
88-89°F
$5 交易量
1%
90-91°F
$5 交易量
1%
92°F或更高
$11 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent warm, humid conditions with widespread cloud cover and easterly flow are anchoring trader expectations for Miami’s daily minimum temperature on August 31 near 80–81 °F.**
Official forecasts from the National Weather Service, WindBorne, and other models project an overnight low of 81–82 °F under mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and light east-southeast winds. These conditions limit radiational cooling, keeping surface temperatures elevated compared with the long-term average low of ~77.5 °F for the date. Recent days have featured above-normal warmth, including a 100 °F high on August 18, reinforcing the current pattern.
The market’s heavy weighting on 80–81 °F (46.5 %) and 78–79 °F (31 %) reflects this guidance, while the modest probability assigned to cooler bins (76–77 °F at 11 %) accounts for possible model shifts or localized clearing. Higher bins above 82 °F carry low odds because sustained moisture and cloud cover make significant overnight warming unlikely. Updated model runs and any changes in convective coverage overnight will be the main near-term drivers of probability adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 29, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$591結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent warm, humid conditions with widespread cloud cover and easterly flow are anchoring trader expectations for Miami’s daily minimum temperature on August 31 near 80–81 °F.**
Official forecasts from the National Weather Service, WindBorne, and other models project an overnight low of 81–82 °F under mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and light east-southeast winds. These conditions limit radiational cooling, keeping surface temperatures elevated compared with the long-term average low of ~77.5 °F for the date. Recent days have featured above-normal warmth, including a 100 °F high on August 18, reinforcing the current pattern.
The market’s heavy weighting on 80–81 °F (46.5 %) and 78–79 °F (31 %) reflects this guidance, while the modest probability assigned to cooler bins (76–77 °F at 11 %) accounts for possible model shifts or localized clearing. Higher bins above 82 °F carry low odds because sustained moisture and cloud cover make significant overnight warming unlikely. Updated model runs and any changes in convective coverage overnight will be the main near-term drivers of probability adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$591結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 3:29 AM ET**Persistent warm, humid conditions with widespread cloud cover and easterly flow are anchoring trader expectations for Miami’s daily minimum temperature on August 31 near 80–81 °F.** Official forecasts from the National Weather Service, WindBorne, and other models project an overnight low of 81–82 °F under mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and light east-southeast winds. These conditions limit radiational cooling, keeping surface temperatures elevated compared with the long-term average low of ~77.5 °F for the date. Recent days have featured above-normal warmth, including a 100 °F high on August 18, reinforcing the current pattern. The market’s heavy weighting on 80–81 °F (46.5 %) and 78–79 °F (31 %) reflects this guidance, while the modest probability assigned to cooler bins (76–77 °F at 11 %) accounts for possible model shifts or localized clearing. Higher bins above 82 °F carry low odds because sustained moisture and cloud cover make significant overnight warming unlikely. Updated model runs and any changes in convective coverage overnight will be the main near-term drivers of probability adjustments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions