Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a Monday night low near 70–72°F for New York City on August 31, driving the market’s heaviest volume toward the 70–73°F bins. Persistent high dew points near 66–68°F, increasing cloud cover ahead of a weak frontal boundary, and light southwesterly flow are limiting overnight radiational cooling compared with the clearer, drier conditions that produced mid-60s lows earlier in the weekend. Forecast consensus from the NWS and ensemble runs shows only modest spread, with any stronger southerly moisture surge or heavier showers the main variables that could nudge the minimum a degree or two higher or allow brief clearing to dip it lower. Updated model cycles and the evening NWS forecast discussion remain the next near-term catalysts for price movement before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月31日是紐約市的最低溫度嗎？
8月31日是紐約市的最低溫度嗎？
70-71°F 44%
72-73°F 34%
68-69°F 16%
74-75°F 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
65°F或以下
7%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
16%
70-71°F
44%
72-73°F
34%
74-75°F
13%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84°F或更高
1%
70-71°F 44%
72-73°F 34%
68-69°F 16%
74-75°F 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
65°F或以下
$6 交易量
7%
66-67°F
$40 交易量
5%
68-69°F
$48 交易量
16%
70-71°F
$0 交易量
44%
72-73°F
$137 交易量
34%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
13%
76-77°F
$0 交易量
5%
78-79°F
$0 交易量
1%
80-81°F
$0 交易量
1%
82-83°F
$0 交易量
1%
84°F或更高
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a Monday night low near 70–72°F for New York City on August 31, driving the market’s heaviest volume toward the 70–73°F bins. Persistent high dew points near 66–68°F, increasing cloud cover ahead of a weak frontal boundary, and light southwesterly flow are limiting overnight radiational cooling compared with the clearer, drier conditions that produced mid-60s lows earlier in the weekend. Forecast consensus from the NWS and ensemble runs shows only modest spread, with any stronger southerly moisture surge or heavier showers the main variables that could nudge the minimum a degree or two higher or allow brief clearing to dip it lower. Updated model cycles and the evening NWS forecast discussion remain the next near-term catalysts for price movement before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 29, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$231結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a Monday night low near 70–72°F for New York City on August 31, driving the market’s heaviest volume toward the 70–73°F bins. Persistent high dew points near 66–68°F, increasing cloud cover ahead of a weak frontal boundary, and light southwesterly flow are limiting overnight radiational cooling compared with the clearer, drier conditions that produced mid-60s lows earlier in the weekend. Forecast consensus from the NWS and ensemble runs shows only modest spread, with any stronger southerly moisture surge or heavier showers the main variables that could nudge the minimum a degree or two higher or allow brief clearing to dip it lower. Updated model cycles and the evening NWS forecast discussion remain the next near-term catalysts for price movement before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$231結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 3:29 AM ETRecent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a Monday night low near 70–72°F for New York City on August 31, driving the market’s heaviest volume toward the 70–73°F bins. Persistent high dew points near 66–68°F, increasing cloud cover ahead of a weak frontal boundary, and light southwesterly flow are limiting overnight radiational cooling compared with the clearer, drier conditions that produced mid-60s lows earlier in the weekend. Forecast consensus from the NWS and ensemble runs shows only modest spread, with any stronger southerly moisture surge or heavier showers the main variables that could nudge the minimum a degree or two higher or allow brief clearing to dip it lower. Updated model cycles and the evening NWS forecast discussion remain the next near-term catalysts for price movement before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions