**Forecast consensus from numerical weather models and official guidance, including projections near 31°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds and moderate humidity, has driven overwhelming trader alignment on a daily maximum of 31°C.** Recent atmospheric conditions, featuring reduced insolation from scattered clouds and limited convective activity, align with this outcome according to multiple ensemble runs. Historical late-August baselines for Chengdu typically reach the low-to-mid 30s, but localized moisture has tempered extremes. Official station measurements from the China Meteorological Administration will determine final resolution, with only substantial model bias or microscale variations capable of altering the result.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日成都最高溫度？
8月29日成都最高溫度？
31°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$91,140 交易量
$91,140 交易量
2026-08-29
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$91,140 交易量
$91,140 交易量
2026-08-29
24°C or below
$451 交易量
No
25°C
$17,411 交易量
No
26°C
$4,785 交易量
No
27°C
$6,633 交易量
No
28°C
$11,507 交易量
No
29°C
$6,229 交易量
No
30°C
$7,457 交易量
No
31°C
$9,390 交易量
Yes
32°C
$6,537 交易量
No
33°C
$7,733 交易量
No
34°C or higher
$13,007 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from numerical weather models and official guidance, including projections near 31°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds and moderate humidity, has driven overwhelming trader alignment on a daily maximum of 31°C.** Recent atmospheric conditions, featuring reduced insolation from scattered clouds and limited convective activity, align with this outcome according to multiple ensemble runs. Historical late-August baselines for Chengdu typically reach the low-to-mid 30s, but localized moisture has tempered extremes. Official station measurements from the China Meteorological Administration will determine final resolution, with only substantial model bias or microscale variations capable of altering the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$91,140結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from numerical weather models and official guidance, including projections near 31°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds and moderate humidity, has driven overwhelming trader alignment on a daily maximum of 31°C.** Recent atmospheric conditions, featuring reduced insolation from scattered clouds and limited convective activity, align with this outcome according to multiple ensemble runs. Historical late-August baselines for Chengdu typically reach the low-to-mid 30s, but localized moisture has tempered extremes. Official station measurements from the China Meteorological Administration will determine final resolution, with only substantial model bias or microscale variations capable of altering the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$91,140結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
**Forecast consensus from numerical weather models and official guidance, including projections near 31°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds and moderate humidity, has driven overwhelming trader alignment on a daily maximum of 31°C.** Recent atmospheric conditions, featuring reduced insolation from scattered clouds and limited convective activity, align with this outcome according to multiple ensemble runs. Historical late-August baselines for Chengdu typically reach the low-to-mid 30s, but localized moisture has tempered extremes. Official station measurements from the China Meteorological Administration will determine final resolution, with only substantial model bias or microscale variations capable of altering the result.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions