Forecast models from agencies tracking the Sichuan Basin point to a nighttime low near 22–23 °C on August 30, with partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds under 5 km/h, and dew points around 20–22 °C limiting radiative cooling. High humidity typical of late-summer conditions reduces the temperature drop after sunset, while the urban heat-island effect in Chengdu adds a modest warming bias to overnight readings. Slight differences among 21 °C, 22 °C, and 23 °C outcomes hinge on exact cloud-cover timing and any late clearing that could enhance cooling before dawn. Official station measurements will resolve the market once the calendar day ends.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日成都最低溫?
23°C 50%
22°C 50%
18°C or below 49%
21°C 49%
18°C or below
49%
19°C
<1%
20°C
4%
21°C
49%
22°C
50%
23°C
50%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 50%
22°C 50%
18°C or below 49%
21°C 49%
18°C or below
49%
19°C
<1%
20°C
4%
21°C
49%
22°C
50%
23°C
50%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from agencies tracking the Sichuan Basin point to a nighttime low near 22–23 °C on August 30, with partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds under 5 km/h, and dew points around 20–22 °C limiting radiative cooling. High humidity typical of late-summer conditions reduces the temperature drop after sunset, while the urban heat-island effect in Chengdu adds a modest warming bias to overnight readings. Slight differences among 21 °C, 22 °C, and 23 °C outcomes hinge on exact cloud-cover timing and any late clearing that could enhance cooling before dawn. Official station measurements will resolve the market once the calendar day ends.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions