Skip to main content
icon for 8月31日成都最低溫度？

8月31日成都最低溫度？

icon for 8月31日成都最低溫度？

8月31日成都最低溫度？

8月 29

8月 30

8月 31

8月 29

8月 30

8月 31

20°C 49%

24°C 49%

25°C 49%

22°C 30%

Polymarket
最新

20°C 49%

24°C 49%

25°C 49%

22°C 30%

Polymarket
最新

16°C or below

$130 交易量

12%

17°C

$0 交易量

13%

18°C

$0 交易量

13%

19°C

$0 交易量

19%

20°C

$0 交易量

49%

21°C

$0 交易量

26%

22°C

$0 交易量

30%

23°C

$0 交易量

27%

24°C

$0 交易量

49%

25°C

$0 交易量

49%

26°C or higher

$0 交易量

2%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including WeatherBug and regional Chinese meteorological services project overnight lows of 20–23°C for Chengdu on August 31 under mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions, with minimal precipitation expected. This consensus supports the market's leading implied probabilities clustered around 19–22°C, reflecting typical late-August radiational cooling in the Sichuan Basin amid waning monsoon influences and light winds. Recent days have featured similar nighttime minima near 20–21°C amid variable cloud cover, with no major model shifts or atmospheric disruptions noted in the latest runs. Updated guidance ahead of the date will determine any adjustments to these outcomes.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu

If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$130
結束日期
2026-08-31
市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

結算來源

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including WeatherBug and regional Chinese meteorological services project overnight lows of 20–23°C for Chengdu on August 31 under mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions, with minimal precipitation expected. This consensus supports the market's leading implied probabilities clustered around 19–22°C, reflecting typical late-August radiational cooling in the Sichuan Basin amid waning monsoon influences and light winds. Recent days have featured similar nighttime minima near 20–21°C amid variable cloud cover, with no major model shifts or atmospheric disruptions noted in the latest runs. Updated guidance ahead of the date will determine any adjustments to these outcomes.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu

If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$130
結束日期
2026-08-31
市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

結算來源

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

相關

icon for Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on August 30?

Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on August 30?

49%
icon for Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on August 29?

Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on August 29?

53%
icon for Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 31?

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 31?

32%

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"8月31日成都最低溫度？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "22°C" at 30%, followed by "23°C" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 30¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"8月31日成都最低溫度？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 29, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "8月31日成都最低溫度？," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "8月31日成都最低溫度？" is "22°C" at 30%, meaning the market assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "23°C" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "8月31日成都最低溫度？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.