**Cloud cover and high humidity are moderating overnight radiative cooling in Chengdu, keeping the day's minimum temperature tightly clustered around 22–25°C according to the latest model consensus.** Late-August conditions in the Sichuan Basin typically feature daytime highs of 30–34°C followed by lows of 20–24°C, but persistent overcast skies and dew points near 20°C have reduced the diurnal range on August 29. Multiple forecasts show the overnight minimum settling between roughly 21–24°C, with slight variations arising from differences in wind speed (light, <10 km/h) and exact cloud timing. These factors explain why market-implied probabilities remain closely matched across 22°C, 24°C, and 25°C outcomes rather than converging on a single value. Because the day is nearly complete, traders are weighting the most recent official station observations and short-range model runs that incorporate current humidity and cloud data. Any final clearing or additional moisture could shift the recorded low by 1–2°C, sustaining the balanced odds until resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日成都最低溫？
8月29日成都最低溫？
25°C 100.0%
21°C 1.0%
24°C 1.0%
17°C or below <1%
$989 交易量
$989 交易量
2026-08-29
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
21°C 1.0%
24°C 1.0%
17°C or below <1%
$989 交易量
$989 交易量
2026-08-29
17°C or below
$175 交易量
No
18°C
$54 交易量
No
19°C
$44 交易量
No
20°C
$88 交易量
No
21°C
$93 交易量
No
22°C
$44 交易量
No
23°C
$25 交易量
No
24°C
$39 交易量
No
25°C
$331 交易量
Yes
26°C
$65 交易量
No
27°C or higher
$30 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Cloud cover and high humidity are moderating overnight radiative cooling in Chengdu, keeping the day's minimum temperature tightly clustered around 22–25°C according to the latest model consensus.**
Late-August conditions in the Sichuan Basin typically feature daytime highs of 30–34°C followed by lows of 20–24°C, but persistent overcast skies and dew points near 20°C have reduced the diurnal range on August 29. Multiple forecasts show the overnight minimum settling between roughly 21–24°C, with slight variations arising from differences in wind speed (light, <10 km/h) and exact cloud timing. These factors explain why market-implied probabilities remain closely matched across 22°C, 24°C, and 25°C outcomes rather than converging on a single value.
Because the day is nearly complete, traders are weighting the most recent official station observations and short-range model runs that incorporate current humidity and cloud data. Any final clearing or additional moisture could shift the recorded low by 1–2°C, sustaining the balanced odds until resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$989結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Cloud cover and high humidity are moderating overnight radiative cooling in Chengdu, keeping the day's minimum temperature tightly clustered around 22–25°C according to the latest model consensus.**
Late-August conditions in the Sichuan Basin typically feature daytime highs of 30–34°C followed by lows of 20–24°C, but persistent overcast skies and dew points near 20°C have reduced the diurnal range on August 29. Multiple forecasts show the overnight minimum settling between roughly 21–24°C, with slight variations arising from differences in wind speed (light, <10 km/h) and exact cloud timing. These factors explain why market-implied probabilities remain closely matched across 22°C, 24°C, and 25°C outcomes rather than converging on a single value.
Because the day is nearly complete, traders are weighting the most recent official station observations and short-range model runs that incorporate current humidity and cloud data. Any final clearing or additional moisture could shift the recorded low by 1–2°C, sustaining the balanced odds until resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$989結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
**Cloud cover and high humidity are moderating overnight radiative cooling in Chengdu, keeping the day's minimum temperature tightly clustered around 22–25°C according to the latest model consensus.** Late-August conditions in the Sichuan Basin typically feature daytime highs of 30–34°C followed by lows of 20–24°C, but persistent overcast skies and dew points near 20°C have reduced the diurnal range on August 29. Multiple forecasts show the overnight minimum settling between roughly 21–24°C, with slight variations arising from differences in wind speed (light, <10 km/h) and exact cloud timing. These factors explain why market-implied probabilities remain closely matched across 22°C, 24°C, and 25°C outcomes rather than converging on a single value. Because the day is nearly complete, traders are weighting the most recent official station observations and short-range model runs that incorporate current humidity and cloud data. Any final clearing or additional moisture could shift the recorded low by 1–2°C, sustaining the balanced odds until resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions