**Persistent cloud cover, southwesterly flow, and light precipitation are holding Paris temperatures to a modest daily maximum on August 29, 2026.** Official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as Météo-France guidance, GFS, and European models converge on a high near 21–23 °C, with most runs peaking at or just above 22 °C under overcast skies and periods of drizzle or light rain. These conditions limit surface heating compared with the long-term August average maximum of roughly 24 °C. South-southwest winds of 15–25 km/h and high humidity (70–80 %) further suppress the diurnal rise, while the absence of strong solar insolation prevents any late-day surge. Recent model updates have shown little shift in this pattern, reinforcing trader consensus around the 22 °C outcome at 76.5 % implied probability, with the smaller 23 °C share (18.5 %) reflecting residual uncertainty in the precise timing of any brief clearing or shower. Lower probabilities for 24 °C or above align with the consistent suppression of temperatures below seasonal norms.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日巴黎最高溫度？
8月29日巴黎最高溫度？
22°C 77%
23°C 17%
24°C 7%
25°C or higher <1%
$67,378 交易量
$67,378 交易量
2026-08-29
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
77%
23°C
17%
24°C
7%
25°C or higher
1%
22°C 77%
23°C 17%
24°C 7%
25°C or higher <1%
$67,378 交易量
$67,378 交易量
2026-08-29
15°C or below
$394 交易量
<1%
16°C
$1,886 交易量
<1%
17°C
$1,353 交易量
<1%
18°C
$1,453 交易量
<1%
19°C
$2,179 交易量
<1%
20°C
$6,856 交易量
<1%
21°C
$8,382 交易量
<1%
22°C
$10,910 交易量
77%
23°C
$11,544 交易量
17%
24°C
$11,610 交易量
7%
25°C or higher
$10,811 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, southwesterly flow, and light precipitation are holding Paris temperatures to a modest daily maximum on August 29, 2026.** Official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as Météo-France guidance, GFS, and European models converge on a high near 21–23 °C, with most runs peaking at or just above 22 °C under overcast skies and periods of drizzle or light rain.
These conditions limit surface heating compared with the long-term August average maximum of roughly 24 °C. South-southwest winds of 15–25 km/h and high humidity (70–80 %) further suppress the diurnal rise, while the absence of strong solar insolation prevents any late-day surge. Recent model updates have shown little shift in this pattern, reinforcing trader consensus around the 22 °C outcome at 76.5 % implied probability, with the smaller 23 °C share (18.5 %) reflecting residual uncertainty in the precise timing of any brief clearing or shower.
Lower probabilities for 24 °C or above align with the consistent suppression of temperatures below seasonal norms.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$67,378結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, southwesterly flow, and light precipitation are holding Paris temperatures to a modest daily maximum on August 29, 2026.** Official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as Météo-France guidance, GFS, and European models converge on a high near 21–23 °C, with most runs peaking at or just above 22 °C under overcast skies and periods of drizzle or light rain.
These conditions limit surface heating compared with the long-term August average maximum of roughly 24 °C. South-southwest winds of 15–25 km/h and high humidity (70–80 %) further suppress the diurnal rise, while the absence of strong solar insolation prevents any late-day surge. Recent model updates have shown little shift in this pattern, reinforcing trader consensus around the 22 °C outcome at 76.5 % implied probability, with the smaller 23 °C share (18.5 %) reflecting residual uncertainty in the precise timing of any brief clearing or shower.
Lower probabilities for 24 °C or above align with the consistent suppression of temperatures below seasonal norms.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$67,378結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ET**Persistent cloud cover, southwesterly flow, and light precipitation are holding Paris temperatures to a modest daily maximum on August 29, 2026.** Official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as Météo-France guidance, GFS, and European models converge on a high near 21–23 °C, with most runs peaking at or just above 22 °C under overcast skies and periods of drizzle or light rain. These conditions limit surface heating compared with the long-term August average maximum of roughly 24 °C. South-southwest winds of 15–25 km/h and high humidity (70–80 %) further suppress the diurnal rise, while the absence of strong solar insolation prevents any late-day surge. Recent model updates have shown little shift in this pattern, reinforcing trader consensus around the 22 °C outcome at 76.5 % implied probability, with the smaller 23 °C share (18.5 %) reflecting residual uncertainty in the precise timing of any brief clearing or shower. Lower probabilities for 24 °C or above align with the consistent suppression of temperatures below seasonal norms.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions