Recent forecast updates from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency point to a Tokyo high near 27–29°C on August 29, with scattered showers and increased cloud cover expected to limit daytime heating compared to the seasonal average of about 31°C. Variable steering patterns, moderate northeast winds, and precipitation probabilities around 25–60% introduce uncertainty in peak readings, as earlier or heavier rain would suppress maxima while clearer intervals could allow brief warming. Model consensus remains close across runs, supporting the tight market clustering around 27°C and 28°C implied probabilities as traders weigh timing risks before final observations. Updated JMA guidance and next model cycles will likely refine these odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日東京氣溫最高？
8月29日東京氣溫最高？
27°C 34%
28°C 28%
26°C 13%
29°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
6%
26°C
13%
27°C
34%
28°C
28%
29°C
11%
30°C
3%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 34%
28°C 28%
26°C 13%
29°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
22°C or below
$1,251 交易量
<1%
23°C
$1,191 交易量
<1%
24°C
$510 交易量
2%
25°C
$369 交易量
6%
26°C
$2,273 交易量
13%
27°C
$1,078 交易量
34%
28°C
$807 交易量
28%
29°C
$1,096 交易量
11%
30°C
$887 交易量
3%
31°C
$115 交易量
2%
32°C or higher
$165 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency point to a Tokyo high near 27–29°C on August 29, with scattered showers and increased cloud cover expected to limit daytime heating compared to the seasonal average of about 31°C. Variable steering patterns, moderate northeast winds, and precipitation probabilities around 25–60% introduce uncertainty in peak readings, as earlier or heavier rain would suppress maxima while clearer intervals could allow brief warming. Model consensus remains close across runs, supporting the tight market clustering around 27°C and 28°C implied probabilities as traders weigh timing risks before final observations. Updated JMA guidance and next model cycles will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$9,651結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency point to a Tokyo high near 27–29°C on August 29, with scattered showers and increased cloud cover expected to limit daytime heating compared to the seasonal average of about 31°C. Variable steering patterns, moderate northeast winds, and precipitation probabilities around 25–60% introduce uncertainty in peak readings, as earlier or heavier rain would suppress maxima while clearer intervals could allow brief warming. Model consensus remains close across runs, supporting the tight market clustering around 27°C and 28°C implied probabilities as traders weigh timing risks before final observations. Updated JMA guidance and next model cycles will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,651結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecast updates from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency point to a Tokyo high near 27–29°C on August 29, with scattered showers and increased cloud cover expected to limit daytime heating compared to the seasonal average of about 31°C. Variable steering patterns, moderate northeast winds, and precipitation probabilities around 25–60% introduce uncertainty in peak readings, as earlier or heavier rain would suppress maxima while clearer intervals could allow brief warming. Model consensus remains close across runs, supporting the tight market clustering around 27°C and 28°C implied probabilities as traders weigh timing risks before final observations. Updated JMA guidance and next model cycles will likely refine these odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions