**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a minimum temperature for Denver on August 29 in the low-to-mid 60s °F, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes around 64–67 °F.** These probabilities reflect trader assessment of radiative cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies, light winds, and modest moisture from potential afternoon/evening thunderstorms, which limit overnight temperature drops compared to clearer conditions. Recent warm daytime highs near 90–95 °F have maintained elevated boundary-layer temperatures, while the absence of a strong cold front or significant downslope wind event keeps values above typical late-August climatological lows near 55 °F. Small differences among the tightly grouped 62–69 °F bins stem from forecast uncertainty in cloud cover timing, dewpoint levels, and exact storm impacts on the overnight minimum, with models showing limited spread. Higher probabilities for the 64–67 °F range capture the consensus central tendency, while tails below 60 °F or above 70 °F remain low due to the stable warm pattern and short lead time before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日丹佛的最低溫度?
66-67°F 33%
64-65°F 31%
68-69°F 28%
62-63°F 26%
57°F或以下
13%
58-59°F
26%
60-61°F
25%
62-63°F
26%
64-65°F
31%
66-67°F
33%
68-69°F
28%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
12%
74-75°F
15%
76°F或更高
2%
66-67°F 33%
64-65°F 31%
68-69°F 28%
62-63°F 26%
57°F或以下
13%
58-59°F
26%
60-61°F
25%
62-63°F
26%
64-65°F
31%
66-67°F
33%
68-69°F
28%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
12%
74-75°F
15%
76°F或更高
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a minimum temperature for Denver on August 29 in the low-to-mid 60s °F, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes around 64–67 °F.** These probabilities reflect trader assessment of radiative cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies, light winds, and modest moisture from potential afternoon/evening thunderstorms, which limit overnight temperature drops compared to clearer conditions. Recent warm daytime highs near 90–95 °F have maintained elevated boundary-layer temperatures, while the absence of a strong cold front or significant downslope wind event keeps values above typical late-August climatological lows near 55 °F. Small differences among the tightly grouped 62–69 °F bins stem from forecast uncertainty in cloud cover timing, dewpoint levels, and exact storm impacts on the overnight minimum, with models showing limited spread. Higher probabilities for the 64–67 °F range capture the consensus central tendency, while tails below 60 °F or above 70 °F remain low due to the stable warm pattern and short lead time before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions