Recent forecast model runs indicate persistent monsoon moisture and thunderstorm activity will moderate temperatures on August 28, driving trader focus on the 29–30 °C range where probabilities cluster tightly. Coastal Busan’s marine influence from the Sea of Japan, combined with expected cloud cover and scattered showers, typically limits daytime maxima below recent heat-wave peaks near 34 °C. Historical late-August averages hover around 29–30 °C, with high humidity and variable steering patterns creating modest uncertainty in the precise peak; updated runs from agencies such as the Korea Meteorological Administration will refine timing of any clearing that could allow a brief push toward 31 °C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月28日釜山的最高溫度?
30°C 30%
29°C 23%
32°C 19%
28°C 18%
24°C or below
2%
25°C
7%
26°C
13%
27°C
9%
28°C
18%
29°C
23%
30°C
30%
31°C
16%
32°C
19%
33°C
12%
34°C或以上
3%
30°C 30%
29°C 23%
32°C 19%
28°C 18%
24°C or below
2%
25°C
7%
26°C
13%
27°C
9%
28°C
18%
29°C
23%
30°C
30%
31°C
16%
32°C
19%
33°C
12%
34°C或以上
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast model runs indicate persistent monsoon moisture and thunderstorm activity will moderate temperatures on August 28, driving trader focus on the 29–30 °C range where probabilities cluster tightly. Coastal Busan’s marine influence from the Sea of Japan, combined with expected cloud cover and scattered showers, typically limits daytime maxima below recent heat-wave peaks near 34 °C. Historical late-August averages hover around 29–30 °C, with high humidity and variable steering patterns creating modest uncertainty in the precise peak; updated runs from agencies such as the Korea Meteorological Administration will refine timing of any clearing that could allow a brief push toward 31 °C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions