Recent numerical weather prediction models, including runs from the GFS, indicate a maximum temperature of 27–29°C in Madrid on August 26 under partly cloudy skies with moderate southwesterly flow and low precipitation chances. This consensus aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 29°C at 55.5% and 30°C at 25.5%, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance that places the outcome near or slightly below the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 30.9°C. Short-range updates through the evening of August 25 show stable steering patterns without significant warming or cooling signals, though minor model spread in afternoon mixing could shift the exact peak by 1°C. Resolution hinges on official station observations, expected within hours of peak heating.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日馬德裏氣溫最高？
8月26日馬德裏氣溫最高？
29°C 56%
30°C 26%
28°C 16%
31°C 4%
最新
$11,544 交易量
最新
$11,544 交易量
2026-08-26
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
16%
29°C
56%
30°C
26%
31°C
4%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 56%
30°C 26%
28°C 16%
31°C 4%
最新
$11,544 交易量
最新
$11,544 交易量
2026-08-26
25°C or below
$266 交易量
<1%
26°C
$105 交易量
<1%
27°C
$620 交易量
3%
28°C
$3,405 交易量
16%
29°C
$1,205 交易量
56%
30°C
$4,634 交易量
26%
31°C
$622 交易量
4%
32°C
$143 交易量
<1%
33°C
$130 交易量
<1%
34°C
$85 交易量
<1%
35°C or higher
$328 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including runs from the GFS, indicate a maximum temperature of 27–29°C in Madrid on August 26 under partly cloudy skies with moderate southwesterly flow and low precipitation chances. This consensus aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 29°C at 55.5% and 30°C at 25.5%, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance that places the outcome near or slightly below the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 30.9°C. Short-range updates through the evening of August 25 show stable steering patterns without significant warming or cooling signals, though minor model spread in afternoon mixing could shift the exact peak by 1°C. Resolution hinges on official station observations, expected within hours of peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$11,544結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including runs from the GFS, indicate a maximum temperature of 27–29°C in Madrid on August 26 under partly cloudy skies with moderate southwesterly flow and low precipitation chances. This consensus aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 29°C at 55.5% and 30°C at 25.5%, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance that places the outcome near or slightly below the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 30.9°C. Short-range updates through the evening of August 25 show stable steering patterns without significant warming or cooling signals, though minor model spread in afternoon mixing could shift the exact peak by 1°C. Resolution hinges on official station observations, expected within hours of peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$11,544結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction models, including runs from the GFS, indicate a maximum temperature of 27–29°C in Madrid on August 26 under partly cloudy skies with moderate southwesterly flow and low precipitation chances. This consensus aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 29°C at 55.5% and 30°C at 25.5%, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance that places the outcome near or slightly below the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 30.9°C. Short-range updates through the evening of August 25 show stable steering patterns without significant warming or cooling signals, though minor model spread in afternoon mixing could shift the exact peak by 1°C. Resolution hinges on official station observations, expected within hours of peak heating.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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