Clear skies and a stable high-pressure system over Poland are driving the strong market consensus around a 13°C low for Warsaw on August 27. Radiational cooling under cloud-free conditions, light easterly winds, and low humidity are promoting efficient overnight heat loss, with GFS and local models consistently projecting a minimum near 13°C in the pre-dawn hours. Official observations through evening show temperatures falling steadily from afternoon highs near 24–25°C, aligning closely with this threshold. Traders appear confident in these conditions holding, as alternative outcomes like 12°C or 14°C carry minimal implied probability amid limited forecast spread. The market will resolve on verified station data, likely from the Polish Institute of Meteorology.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月27日華沙的最低溫度？
8月27日華沙的最低溫度？
13°C 99.5%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$2,435 交易量
$2,435 交易量
2026-08-27
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
13°C 99.5%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$2,435 交易量
$2,435 交易量
2026-08-27
7°C or below
$243 交易量
No
8°C
$372 交易量
No
9°C
$196 交易量
No
10°C
$211 交易量
No
11°C
$157 交易量
No
12°C
$246 交易量
No
13°C
$742 交易量
Yes
14°C
$50 交易量
No
15°C
$60 交易量
No
16°C
$84 交易量
No
17°C or higher
$73 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and a stable high-pressure system over Poland are driving the strong market consensus around a 13°C low for Warsaw on August 27. Radiational cooling under cloud-free conditions, light easterly winds, and low humidity are promoting efficient overnight heat loss, with GFS and local models consistently projecting a minimum near 13°C in the pre-dawn hours. Official observations through evening show temperatures falling steadily from afternoon highs near 24–25°C, aligning closely with this threshold. Traders appear confident in these conditions holding, as alternative outcomes like 12°C or 14°C carry minimal implied probability amid limited forecast spread. The market will resolve on verified station data, likely from the Polish Institute of Meteorology.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$2,435結束日期
2026-08-27市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and a stable high-pressure system over Poland are driving the strong market consensus around a 13°C low for Warsaw on August 27. Radiational cooling under cloud-free conditions, light easterly winds, and low humidity are promoting efficient overnight heat loss, with GFS and local models consistently projecting a minimum near 13°C in the pre-dawn hours. Official observations through evening show temperatures falling steadily from afternoon highs near 24–25°C, aligning closely with this threshold. Traders appear confident in these conditions holding, as alternative outcomes like 12°C or 14°C carry minimal implied probability amid limited forecast spread. The market will resolve on verified station data, likely from the Polish Institute of Meteorology.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,435結束日期
2026-08-27市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Clear skies and a stable high-pressure system over Poland are driving the strong market consensus around a 13°C low for Warsaw on August 27. Radiational cooling under cloud-free conditions, light easterly winds, and low humidity are promoting efficient overnight heat loss, with GFS and local models consistently projecting a minimum near 13°C in the pre-dawn hours. Official observations through evening show temperatures falling steadily from afternoon highs near 24–25°C, aligning closely with this threshold. Traders appear confident in these conditions holding, as alternative outcomes like 12°C or 14°C carry minimal implied probability amid limited forecast spread. The market will resolve on verified station data, likely from the Polish Institute of Meteorology.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions