Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and regional analyses, converge on a daytime high of 26–27°C in Warsaw for August 30 under strengthening high pressure and southerly flow. This setup favors mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds, limiting cloud cover and supporting peak temperatures near or slightly above seasonal norms. Official guidance from IMGW-PIB and ensemble outputs place the most likely maximum in this narrow range, with minimal precipitation risk and no significant model spread that would favor outliers. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 26°C and 27°C, reflecting tight consensus on these resolution thresholds ahead of final observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日華沙的最高溫度？
8月30日華沙的最高溫度？
27°C 50%
26°C 35%
28°C 10%
25°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
8%
26°C
35%
27°C
50%
28°C
10%
29°C
3%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 50%
26°C 35%
28°C 10%
25°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
21°C or below
$261 交易量
<1%
22°C
$111 交易量
<1%
23°C
$48 交易量
<1%
24°C
$24 交易量
<1%
25°C
$496 交易量
8%
26°C
$850 交易量
35%
27°C
$1,288 交易量
50%
28°C
$584 交易量
10%
29°C
$438 交易量
3%
30°C
$49 交易量
<1%
31°C or higher
$263 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and regional analyses, converge on a daytime high of 26–27°C in Warsaw for August 30 under strengthening high pressure and southerly flow. This setup favors mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds, limiting cloud cover and supporting peak temperatures near or slightly above seasonal norms. Official guidance from IMGW-PIB and ensemble outputs place the most likely maximum in this narrow range, with minimal precipitation risk and no significant model spread that would favor outliers. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 26°C and 27°C, reflecting tight consensus on these resolution thresholds ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$4,412結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and regional analyses, converge on a daytime high of 26–27°C in Warsaw for August 30 under strengthening high pressure and southerly flow. This setup favors mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds, limiting cloud cover and supporting peak temperatures near or slightly above seasonal norms. Official guidance from IMGW-PIB and ensemble outputs place the most likely maximum in this narrow range, with minimal precipitation risk and no significant model spread that would favor outliers. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 26°C and 27°C, reflecting tight consensus on these resolution thresholds ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,412結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and regional analyses, converge on a daytime high of 26–27°C in Warsaw for August 30 under strengthening high pressure and southerly flow. This setup favors mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds, limiting cloud cover and supporting peak temperatures near or slightly above seasonal norms. Official guidance from IMGW-PIB and ensemble outputs place the most likely maximum in this narrow range, with minimal precipitation risk and no significant model spread that would favor outliers. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 26°C and 27°C, reflecting tight consensus on these resolution thresholds ahead of final observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions