Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and Weather Atlas converge on a Beijing high of 31–32 °C for 29 August 2026, driven by building high pressure, clearing skies after 28 August showers, and light westerly winds that limit mixing while permitting strong daytime solar heating. With August climatological normals near 30–31 °C, the slight elevation stems from reduced cloud cover and drier boundary-layer air allowing greater surface warming. Trader consensus splits between 31 °C (33 %) and 32 °C (25.5 %), reflecting small model spread in peak insolation and urban heat-island effects; outcomes outside this band remain low-probability given stable steering patterns and minimal precipitation expected.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日北京最高溫度？
8月29日北京最高溫度？
31°C 33%
32°C 26%
30°C 16%
33°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
8%
30°C
16%
31°C
33%
32°C
26%
33°C
12%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 33%
32°C 26%
30°C 16%
33°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
25°C or below
$115 交易量
<1%
26°C
$299 交易量
<1%
27°C
$105 交易量
2%
28°C
$73 交易量
4%
29°C
$289 交易量
8%
30°C
$660 交易量
16%
31°C
$321 交易量
33%
32°C
$109 交易量
26%
33°C
$273 交易量
12%
34°C
$16 交易量
3%
35°C or higher
$65 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and Weather Atlas converge on a Beijing high of 31–32 °C for 29 August 2026, driven by building high pressure, clearing skies after 28 August showers, and light westerly winds that limit mixing while permitting strong daytime solar heating. With August climatological normals near 30–31 °C, the slight elevation stems from reduced cloud cover and drier boundary-layer air allowing greater surface warming. Trader consensus splits between 31 °C (33 %) and 32 °C (25.5 %), reflecting small model spread in peak insolation and urban heat-island effects; outcomes outside this band remain low-probability given stable steering patterns and minimal precipitation expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$2,326結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and Weather Atlas converge on a Beijing high of 31–32 °C for 29 August 2026, driven by building high pressure, clearing skies after 28 August showers, and light westerly winds that limit mixing while permitting strong daytime solar heating. With August climatological normals near 30–31 °C, the slight elevation stems from reduced cloud cover and drier boundary-layer air allowing greater surface warming. Trader consensus splits between 31 °C (33 %) and 32 °C (25.5 %), reflecting small model spread in peak insolation and urban heat-island effects; outcomes outside this band remain low-probability given stable steering patterns and minimal precipitation expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,326結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETForecast models from sources including the Met Office and Weather Atlas converge on a Beijing high of 31–32 °C for 29 August 2026, driven by building high pressure, clearing skies after 28 August showers, and light westerly winds that limit mixing while permitting strong daytime solar heating. With August climatological normals near 30–31 °C, the slight elevation stems from reduced cloud cover and drier boundary-layer air allowing greater surface warming. Trader consensus splits between 31 °C (33 %) and 32 °C (25.5 %), reflecting small model spread in peak insolation and urban heat-island effects; outcomes outside this band remain low-probability given stable steering patterns and minimal precipitation expected.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions