Recent official forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global models show a cooling trend for Chengdu driven by increasing monsoon moisture and widespread thunderstorms expected on August 28, with highs likely near the long-term August average of 30–31 °C. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and precipitation timing introduce notable uncertainty in peak daytime heating, as stronger or earlier convection could suppress maxima while delayed or lighter activity might allow brief warming. This spread in model consensus around 31–34 °C underpins the tightly clustered market-implied odds for 32–35 °C outcomes, reflecting traders’ assessment of basin-scale atmospheric dynamics and the narrow window before seasonal transition. Updated model runs and local observations will refine resolution criteria in coming hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月28日成都最高溫度？
8月28日成都最高溫度？
32°C 22%
33°C 21%
34°C 19%
35°C or higher 18%
最新
最新
2026-08-28
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
6%
30°C
10%
31°C
12%
32°C
22%
33°C
21%
34°C
19%
35°C or higher
18%
32°C 22%
33°C 21%
34°C 19%
35°C or higher 18%
最新
最新
2026-08-28
25°C or below
$273 交易量
<1%
26°C
$5 交易量
2%
27°C
$31 交易量
2%
28°C
$32 交易量
2%
29°C
$0 交易量
6%
30°C
$0 交易量
10%
31°C
$28 交易量
12%
32°C
$5 交易量
22%
33°C
$17 交易量
21%
34°C
$15 交易量
19%
35°C or higher
$0 交易量
18%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global models show a cooling trend for Chengdu driven by increasing monsoon moisture and widespread thunderstorms expected on August 28, with highs likely near the long-term August average of 30–31 °C. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and precipitation timing introduce notable uncertainty in peak daytime heating, as stronger or earlier convection could suppress maxima while delayed or lighter activity might allow brief warming. This spread in model consensus around 31–34 °C underpins the tightly clustered market-implied odds for 32–35 °C outcomes, reflecting traders’ assessment of basin-scale atmospheric dynamics and the narrow window before seasonal transition. Updated model runs and local observations will refine resolution criteria in coming hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$405結束日期
2026-08-28市場開放時間
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global models show a cooling trend for Chengdu driven by increasing monsoon moisture and widespread thunderstorms expected on August 28, with highs likely near the long-term August average of 30–31 °C. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and precipitation timing introduce notable uncertainty in peak daytime heating, as stronger or earlier convection could suppress maxima while delayed or lighter activity might allow brief warming. This spread in model consensus around 31–34 °C underpins the tightly clustered market-implied odds for 32–35 °C outcomes, reflecting traders’ assessment of basin-scale atmospheric dynamics and the narrow window before seasonal transition. Updated model runs and local observations will refine resolution criteria in coming hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$405結束日期
2026-08-28市場開放時間
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent official forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global models show a cooling trend for Chengdu driven by increasing monsoon moisture and widespread thunderstorms expected on August 28, with highs likely near the long-term August average of 30–31 °C. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and precipitation timing introduce notable uncertainty in peak daytime heating, as stronger or earlier convection could suppress maxima while delayed or lighter activity might allow brief warming. This spread in model consensus around 31–34 °C underpins the tightly clustered market-implied odds for 32–35 °C outcomes, reflecting traders’ assessment of basin-scale atmospheric dynamics and the narrow window before seasonal transition. Updated model runs and local observations will refine resolution criteria in coming hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions