Trader sentiment for Chengdu's August 26 peak temperature centers on forecast model spreads and precipitation timing amid typical late-summer conditions in the Sichuan basin. Official guidance points to highs near 34–36°C, with thundershowers and variable cloud cover likely to limit full insolation while brief sun breaks could allow brief spikes. Humid air and urban heat effects narrow the diurnal range, making outcomes around 35–37°C closely matched as traders weigh updated numerical weather prediction runs against climatological baselines of 30–35°C. Key variables include steering patterns that influence storm timing and any revisions from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration ahead of final station observations at Chengdu Shuangliu.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日成都最高溫度？
8月26日成都最高溫度？
36°C 30%
37°C or higher 25%
35°C 21%
34°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
6%
34°C
14%
35°C
21%
36°C
30%
37°C or higher
25%
36°C 30%
37°C or higher 25%
35°C 21%
34°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
27°C or below
$264 交易量
<1%
28°C
$274 交易量
<1%
29°C
$190 交易量
2%
30°C
$383 交易量
2%
31°C
$489 交易量
2%
32°C
$852 交易量
3%
33°C
$491 交易量
6%
34°C
$725 交易量
14%
35°C
$992 交易量
21%
36°C
$548 交易量
30%
37°C or higher
$1,263 交易量
25%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Chengdu's August 26 peak temperature centers on forecast model spreads and precipitation timing amid typical late-summer conditions in the Sichuan basin. Official guidance points to highs near 34–36°C, with thundershowers and variable cloud cover likely to limit full insolation while brief sun breaks could allow brief spikes. Humid air and urban heat effects narrow the diurnal range, making outcomes around 35–37°C closely matched as traders weigh updated numerical weather prediction runs against climatological baselines of 30–35°C. Key variables include steering patterns that influence storm timing and any revisions from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration ahead of final station observations at Chengdu Shuangliu.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$6,471結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Chengdu's August 26 peak temperature centers on forecast model spreads and precipitation timing amid typical late-summer conditions in the Sichuan basin. Official guidance points to highs near 34–36°C, with thundershowers and variable cloud cover likely to limit full insolation while brief sun breaks could allow brief spikes. Humid air and urban heat effects narrow the diurnal range, making outcomes around 35–37°C closely matched as traders weigh updated numerical weather prediction runs against climatological baselines of 30–35°C. Key variables include steering patterns that influence storm timing and any revisions from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration ahead of final station observations at Chengdu Shuangliu.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,471結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETTrader sentiment for Chengdu's August 26 peak temperature centers on forecast model spreads and precipitation timing amid typical late-summer conditions in the Sichuan basin. Official guidance points to highs near 34–36°C, with thundershowers and variable cloud cover likely to limit full insolation while brief sun breaks could allow brief spikes. Humid air and urban heat effects narrow the diurnal range, making outcomes around 35–37°C closely matched as traders weigh updated numerical weather prediction runs against climatological baselines of 30–35°C. Key variables include steering patterns that influence storm timing and any revisions from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration ahead of final station observations at Chengdu Shuangliu.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions