Recent official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Observatory point to a maximum of 34–35°C on August 25 amid partly cloudy skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms, reflecting persistent basin heat under the influence of the Western Pacific Subtropical High offset by increasing convective activity after the Chushu solar term. Trader emphasis on 35–37°C stems from uncertainty in afternoon clearing versus rain suppression, local topography trapping warmth and humidity, and model variability in steering patterns and cloud cover that could allow brief solar heating spikes. Historical late-August averages hover near 31°C, with extremes modulated by monsoon moisture. Updated numerical model runs and the next official briefing will likely refine resolution criteria based on verified station observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日成都最高溫度?
36°C 29%
35°C 23%
37°C 20%
34°C 13%
30°C or below
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
5%
34°C
13%
35°C
23%
36°C
29%
37°C
20%
38°C
12%
39°C
6%
40°C or higher
5%
36°C 29%
35°C 23%
37°C 20%
34°C 13%
30°C or below
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
5%
34°C
13%
35°C
23%
36°C
29%
37°C
20%
38°C
12%
39°C
6%
40°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Observatory point to a maximum of 34–35°C on August 25 amid partly cloudy skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms, reflecting persistent basin heat under the influence of the Western Pacific Subtropical High offset by increasing convective activity after the Chushu solar term. Trader emphasis on 35–37°C stems from uncertainty in afternoon clearing versus rain suppression, local topography trapping warmth and humidity, and model variability in steering patterns and cloud cover that could allow brief solar heating spikes. Historical late-August averages hover near 31°C, with extremes modulated by monsoon moisture. Updated numerical model runs and the next official briefing will likely refine resolution criteria based on verified station observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions