Recent official forecasts from sources including the Met Office, WeatherBug, and regional models indicate a high of 28–30°C for Istanbul on August 25, driven by persistent northeasterly winds and partly cloudy conditions that limit daytime heating under the influence of a stable high-pressure system. This aligns with late-summer climatology, where average August highs near 29°C reflect the moderating effect of the Black Sea and regional airflow patterns rather than peak heat. Trader emphasis on 27–28°C outcomes reflects model consensus on modest cooling from recent days’ warmer readings near 30–32°C, with low precipitation risk and stable pressure supporting limited variability. Updated model runs in the coming 24–48 hours will refine the exact maximum ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度?
28°C 52%
26°C 42%
27°C 36%
29°C 29%
23°C or below
4%
24°C
6%
25°C
6%
26°C
42%
27°C
36%
28°C
46%
29°C
29%
30°C
6%
31°C
6%
32°C
6%
33°C or higher
5%
28°C 52%
26°C 42%
27°C 36%
29°C 29%
23°C or below
4%
24°C
6%
25°C
6%
26°C
42%
27°C
36%
28°C
46%
29°C
29%
30°C
6%
31°C
6%
32°C
6%
33°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including the Met Office, WeatherBug, and regional models indicate a high of 28–30°C for Istanbul on August 25, driven by persistent northeasterly winds and partly cloudy conditions that limit daytime heating under the influence of a stable high-pressure system. This aligns with late-summer climatology, where average August highs near 29°C reflect the moderating effect of the Black Sea and regional airflow patterns rather than peak heat. Trader emphasis on 27–28°C outcomes reflects model consensus on modest cooling from recent days’ warmer readings near 30–32°C, with low precipitation risk and stable pressure supporting limited variability. Updated model runs in the coming 24–48 hours will refine the exact maximum ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions