Recent forecasts from meteorological models position 23–24°C as the most likely daily maximum for Mexico City on August 22, aligning with trader consensus around those outcomes. In the late-summer rainy season, persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and scattered showers—driven by regional moisture patterns—typically suppress peak temperatures below clear-sky norms at the city's 2,240-meter altitude. Historical August averages hover near 22–24°C, with limited model spread for this short-range period supporting the current implied probabilities. Updated observational data and final NHC/NOAA-equivalent guidance ahead of resolution will determine whether any intensification of afternoon convection shifts the high slightly higher or lower.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月22日墨西哥城的最高溫度?
24°C 39%
23°C 29%
22°C 13%
25°C 13%
20°C或以下
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
13%
23°C
29%
24°C
39%
25°C
13%
26°C
5%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C或以上
<1%
24°C 39%
23°C 29%
22°C 13%
25°C 13%
20°C或以下
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
13%
23°C
29%
24°C
39%
25°C
13%
26°C
5%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C或以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 20, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from meteorological models position 23–24°C as the most likely daily maximum for Mexico City on August 22, aligning with trader consensus around those outcomes. In the late-summer rainy season, persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and scattered showers—driven by regional moisture patterns—typically suppress peak temperatures below clear-sky norms at the city's 2,240-meter altitude. Historical August averages hover near 22–24°C, with limited model spread for this short-range period supporting the current implied probabilities. Updated observational data and final NHC/NOAA-equivalent guidance ahead of resolution will determine whether any intensification of afternoon convection shifts the high slightly higher or lower.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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