Recent forecasts from meteorological models project a minimum temperature near 12–15°C in Mexico City on August 22, 2026, driven by the high-altitude valley setting (roughly 2,240 m) and persistent moisture from the rainy season that favors partly cloudy, showery conditions. These factors limit nocturnal radiative cooling while suppressing stronger daytime heating, keeping overnight lows aligned with August climatology of 11–14°C. Trader-implied probabilities concentrate on the 12°C and 15°C outcomes as latest model runs show modest upward revisions amid lingering humidity, with very low odds assigned to extremes below 11°C or above 16°C given the absence of clear-sky or anomalous air-mass influences. Updated guidance from agencies like CONAGUA will further refine these assessments ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於墨西哥城8月22日的最低溫度？
墨西哥城8月22日的最低溫度？
15°C 91%
12°C 19%
13°C 19%
6°C或以下 <1%
$2,126 交易量
$2,126 交易量
2026-08-22
6°C或以下
否
7°C
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
是
16°C或更高
否
15°C 91%
12°C 19%
13°C 19%
6°C或以下 <1%
$2,126 交易量
$2,126 交易量
2026-08-22
6°C或以下
$125 交易量
否
7°C
$105 交易量
否
8°C
$127 交易量
否
9°C
$132 交易量
否
10°C
$221 交易量
否
11°C
$127 交易量
否
12°C
$32 交易量
否
13°C
$32 交易量
否
14°C
$614 交易量
否
15°C
$210 交易量
是
16°C或更高
$401 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models project a minimum temperature near 12–15°C in Mexico City on August 22, 2026, driven by the high-altitude valley setting (roughly 2,240 m) and persistent moisture from the rainy season that favors partly cloudy, showery conditions. These factors limit nocturnal radiative cooling while suppressing stronger daytime heating, keeping overnight lows aligned with August climatology of 11–14°C. Trader-implied probabilities concentrate on the 12°C and 15°C outcomes as latest model runs show modest upward revisions amid lingering humidity, with very low odds assigned to extremes below 11°C or above 16°C given the absence of clear-sky or anomalous air-mass influences. Updated guidance from agencies like CONAGUA will further refine these assessments ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ET
交易量
$2,126結束日期
2026-08-22市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models project a minimum temperature near 12–15°C in Mexico City on August 22, 2026, driven by the high-altitude valley setting (roughly 2,240 m) and persistent moisture from the rainy season that favors partly cloudy, showery conditions. These factors limit nocturnal radiative cooling while suppressing stronger daytime heating, keeping overnight lows aligned with August climatology of 11–14°C. Trader-implied probabilities concentrate on the 12°C and 15°C outcomes as latest model runs show modest upward revisions amid lingering humidity, with very low odds assigned to extremes below 11°C or above 16°C given the absence of clear-sky or anomalous air-mass influences. Updated guidance from agencies like CONAGUA will further refine these assessments ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,126結束日期
2026-08-22市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent forecasts from meteorological models project a minimum temperature near 12–15°C in Mexico City on August 22, 2026, driven by the high-altitude valley setting (roughly 2,240 m) and persistent moisture from the rainy season that favors partly cloudy, showery conditions. These factors limit nocturnal radiative cooling while suppressing stronger daytime heating, keeping overnight lows aligned with August climatology of 11–14°C. Trader-implied probabilities concentrate on the 12°C and 15°C outcomes as latest model runs show modest upward revisions amid lingering humidity, with very low odds assigned to extremes below 11°C or above 16°C given the absence of clear-sky or anomalous air-mass influences. Updated guidance from agencies like CONAGUA will further refine these assessments ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions