**Trader consensus has converged on 21°C as the daily minimum temperature in Qingdao for August 28, 2026, reflecting strong alignment across forecast models and official monitoring data.** Current conditions show a coastal environment with moderating southeast-to-north winds and high humidity that has limited overnight radiative cooling, keeping the low anchored near this threshold rather than dropping further. Historical August baselines for the region typically range 21–23°C, and recent model runs have shown consistent guidance without significant downward revisions. Upcoming final observations from the primary weather station will confirm resolution, with only minor adjustments possible from localized microclimate effects or instrument calibration. This skin-in-the-game positioning underscores the market's assessment of forecast reliability under prevailing synoptic patterns.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月28日青島最低氣溫？
8月28日青島最低氣溫？
21°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$24,864 交易量
$24,864 交易量
2026-08-28
20°C or below
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$24,864 交易量
$24,864 交易量
2026-08-28
20°C or below
$217 交易量
No
21°C
$272 交易量
Yes
22°C
$322 交易量
No
23°C
$276 交易量
No
24°C
$11,745 交易量
No
25°C
$11,452 交易量
No
26°C
$118 交易量
No
27°C
$90 交易量
No
28°C
$145 交易量
No
29°C
$110 交易量
No
30°C or higher
$119 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 21°C as the daily minimum temperature in Qingdao for August 28, 2026, reflecting strong alignment across forecast models and official monitoring data.** Current conditions show a coastal environment with moderating southeast-to-north winds and high humidity that has limited overnight radiative cooling, keeping the low anchored near this threshold rather than dropping further. Historical August baselines for the region typically range 21–23°C, and recent model runs have shown consistent guidance without significant downward revisions. Upcoming final observations from the primary weather station will confirm resolution, with only minor adjustments possible from localized microclimate effects or instrument calibration. This skin-in-the-game positioning underscores the market's assessment of forecast reliability under prevailing synoptic patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$24,864結束日期
2026-08-28市場開放時間
Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 21°C as the daily minimum temperature in Qingdao for August 28, 2026, reflecting strong alignment across forecast models and official monitoring data.** Current conditions show a coastal environment with moderating southeast-to-north winds and high humidity that has limited overnight radiative cooling, keeping the low anchored near this threshold rather than dropping further. Historical August baselines for the region typically range 21–23°C, and recent model runs have shown consistent guidance without significant downward revisions. Upcoming final observations from the primary weather station will confirm resolution, with only minor adjustments possible from localized microclimate effects or instrument calibration. This skin-in-the-game positioning underscores the market's assessment of forecast reliability under prevailing synoptic patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$24,864結束日期
2026-08-28市場開放時間
Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
**Trader consensus has converged on 21°C as the daily minimum temperature in Qingdao for August 28, 2026, reflecting strong alignment across forecast models and official monitoring data.** Current conditions show a coastal environment with moderating southeast-to-north winds and high humidity that has limited overnight radiative cooling, keeping the low anchored near this threshold rather than dropping further. Historical August baselines for the region typically range 21–23°C, and recent model runs have shown consistent guidance without significant downward revisions. Upcoming final observations from the primary weather station will confirm resolution, with only minor adjustments possible from localized microclimate effects or instrument calibration. This skin-in-the-game positioning underscores the market's assessment of forecast reliability under prevailing synoptic patterns.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions