Official meteorological observations from stations across Mexico City recorded a daily maximum of 23°C on August 29, 2026, establishing near-certain market resolution at that level. Late-summer highland conditions featured persistent cloud cover, light rain, and southeasterly flow that suppressed daytime heating, consistent with seasonal norms for the Valley of Mexico where August highs typically range 22–24°C. Model consensus and surface analyses confirmed no anomalous warming from subsidence or clear-sky insolation occurred. The 0.1% odds on adjacent outcomes reflect minimal residual uncertainty around station siting differences or microscale variations, though official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional data would need substantial revision to alter the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日墨西哥城的最高溫度?
23°C 100.0%
17°C或以下 <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$15,599 交易量
$15,599 交易量
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C或以上
<1%
23°C 100.0%
17°C或以下 <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$15,599 交易量
$15,599 交易量
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 27, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official meteorological observations from stations across Mexico City recorded a daily maximum of 23°C on August 29, 2026, establishing near-certain market resolution at that level. Late-summer highland conditions featured persistent cloud cover, light rain, and southeasterly flow that suppressed daytime heating, consistent with seasonal norms for the Valley of Mexico where August highs typically range 22–24°C. Model consensus and surface analyses confirmed no anomalous warming from subsidence or clear-sky insolation occurred. The 0.1% odds on adjacent outcomes reflect minimal residual uncertainty around station siting differences or microscale variations, though official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional data would need substantial revision to alter the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions