Official forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a daily high of 24–26°C for Mexico City on August 30, consistent with late-summer conditions at the city's 2,240-meter elevation where frequent convective rainfall and cloud cover limit peak heating. Model consensus across sources shows partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms, yielding surface maxima near 23–25°C as moist air and modest southerly flow suppress stronger warming. Historical August averages hover around 24°C, and absent any anomalous high-pressure setup or clear-sky persistence, trader-implied probabilities cluster on 24°C and 25°C outcomes while assigning modest weight to 26°C or higher if daytime insolation increases.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日墨西哥城的最高溫度?
25°C 48%
24°C 32%
26°C或更高 18%
23°C 5%
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
32%
25°C
48%
26°C或更高
18%
25°C 48%
24°C 32%
26°C或更高 18%
23°C 5%
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
32%
25°C
48%
26°C或更高
18%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 28, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a daily high of 24–26°C for Mexico City on August 30, consistent with late-summer conditions at the city's 2,240-meter elevation where frequent convective rainfall and cloud cover limit peak heating. Model consensus across sources shows partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms, yielding surface maxima near 23–25°C as moist air and modest southerly flow suppress stronger warming. Historical August averages hover around 24°C, and absent any anomalous high-pressure setup or clear-sky persistence, trader-implied probabilities cluster on 24°C and 25°C outcomes while assigning modest weight to 26°C or higher if daytime insolation increases.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions