Recent hourly observations from Shenzhen's national basic meteorological station confirm a daily peak near 31°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and high humidity exceeding 80%, consistent with late-August monsoon patterns where average maxima hover around 32°C but frequent cloud cover and rainfall moderate extremes. This data aligns closely with forecast model consensus from sources like QWeather and Worldmeteo, which project limited solar heating and no significant warming trend, anchoring trader consensus at the 31°C outcome. Official resolution depends on the verified 24-hour maximum from the Shenzhen station; an upward revision to 32°C from localized measurements or data adjustments remains the primary risk to the current positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月28日深圳最高溫度?
31°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$44,853 交易量
$44,853 交易量
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$44,853 交易量
$44,853 交易量
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Recent hourly observations from Shenzhen's national basic meteorological station confirm a daily peak near 31°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and high humidity exceeding 80%, consistent with late-August monsoon patterns where average maxima hover around 32°C but frequent cloud cover and rainfall moderate extremes. This data aligns closely with forecast model consensus from sources like QWeather and Worldmeteo, which project limited solar heating and no significant warming trend, anchoring trader consensus at the 31°C outcome. Official resolution depends on the verified 24-hour maximum from the Shenzhen station; an upward revision to 32°C from localized measurements or data adjustments remains the primary risk to the current positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions