Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies and models indicate a nighttime low near 26°C in Shenzhen on August 30, driven by persistent high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and residual moisture from recent heavy rainfall that limits radiative cooling and diurnal temperature variation. In Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate, typical August minimums hover around 25°C, with suppressed ranges under overcast, saturated conditions; current guidance shows 25–27°C lows across multiple runs, aligning with trader consensus on the 26°C outcome at 48.5% implied probability. Continued rain and stable steering patterns reduce upside risk for higher readings while keeping sub-25°C outcomes unlikely absent a sharp cool-air intrusion. Final official observations will resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日深圳最低溫度？
8月30日深圳最低溫度？
32°C 47%
33°C or higher 47%
26°C 46%
31°C 46%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
23°C or below
13%
24°C
25%
25°C
37%
26°C
46%
27°C
31%
28°C
26%
29°C
25%
30°C
24%
31°C
46%
32°C
47%
33°C or higher
47%
32°C 47%
33°C or higher 47%
26°C 46%
31°C 46%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
23°C or below
$16 交易量
13%
24°C
$0 交易量
25%
25°C
$0 交易量
37%
26°C
$0 交易量
46%
27°C
$0 交易量
31%
28°C
$0 交易量
26%
29°C
$0 交易量
25%
30°C
$0 交易量
24%
31°C
$10 交易量
46%
32°C
$5 交易量
47%
33°C or higher
$5 交易量
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies and models indicate a nighttime low near 26°C in Shenzhen on August 30, driven by persistent high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and residual moisture from recent heavy rainfall that limits radiative cooling and diurnal temperature variation. In Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate, typical August minimums hover around 25°C, with suppressed ranges under overcast, saturated conditions; current guidance shows 25–27°C lows across multiple runs, aligning with trader consensus on the 26°C outcome at 48.5% implied probability. Continued rain and stable steering patterns reduce upside risk for higher readings while keeping sub-25°C outcomes unlikely absent a sharp cool-air intrusion. Final official observations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$36結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies and models indicate a nighttime low near 26°C in Shenzhen on August 30, driven by persistent high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and residual moisture from recent heavy rainfall that limits radiative cooling and diurnal temperature variation. In Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate, typical August minimums hover around 25°C, with suppressed ranges under overcast, saturated conditions; current guidance shows 25–27°C lows across multiple runs, aligning with trader consensus on the 26°C outcome at 48.5% implied probability. Continued rain and stable steering patterns reduce upside risk for higher readings while keeping sub-25°C outcomes unlikely absent a sharp cool-air intrusion. Final official observations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$36結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts from meteorological agencies and models indicate a nighttime low near 26°C in Shenzhen on August 30, driven by persistent high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and residual moisture from recent heavy rainfall that limits radiative cooling and diurnal temperature variation. In Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate, typical August minimums hover around 25°C, with suppressed ranges under overcast, saturated conditions; current guidance shows 25–27°C lows across multiple runs, aligning with trader consensus on the 26°C outcome at 48.5% implied probability. Continued rain and stable steering patterns reduce upside risk for higher readings while keeping sub-25°C outcomes unlikely absent a sharp cool-air intrusion. Final official observations will resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions