Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) flow, enhanced by a distant low-pressure area, drives widespread cloud cover, showers, and high humidity over Manila on August 31, moderating overnight radiative cooling and keeping minimum temperatures in the mid-20s°C. Official guidance from PAGASA and model consensus indicate typical August lows near 25–27°C, with evaporative cooling from rain and moderate southwest winds (10–15 m/s) as key variables that could nudge readings slightly lower or allow brief clear spells for marginally higher values. Closely matched market odds around 25–27°C capture this narrow uncertainty band ahead of final observational data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月31日馬尼拉的最低溫度?
29°C 47%
26°C 28%
27°C 28%
25°C 27%
21°C or below
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
25%
24°C
26%
25°C
27%
26°C
28%
27°C
28%
28°C
25%
29°C
47%
30°C
4%
31°C或以上
1%
29°C 47%
26°C 28%
27°C 28%
25°C 27%
21°C or below
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
25%
24°C
26%
25°C
27%
26°C
28%
27°C
28%
28°C
25%
29°C
47%
30°C
4%
31°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) flow, enhanced by a distant low-pressure area, drives widespread cloud cover, showers, and high humidity over Manila on August 31, moderating overnight radiative cooling and keeping minimum temperatures in the mid-20s°C. Official guidance from PAGASA and model consensus indicate typical August lows near 25–27°C, with evaporative cooling from rain and moderate southwest winds (10–15 m/s) as key variables that could nudge readings slightly lower or allow brief clear spells for marginally higher values. Closely matched market odds around 25–27°C capture this narrow uncertainty band ahead of final observational data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions