Persistent southwest monsoon flow and widespread cloud cover over Metro Manila are anchoring overnight minimum temperatures near 26–27°C for September 1, consistent with PAGASA guidance and ensemble model consensus. High humidity (80–90%) and frequent showers limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping the lowest reading well above the 22°C threshold while also capping daytime peaks near 30°C. Recent model runs show only modest spread in the 25–28°C range, with any brief clearing unlikely to produce significant additional cooling given the moist boundary layer. Traders therefore price the 27°C outcome near the middle of the distribution, while the split between warmer and cooler tails reflects residual uncertainty in exact cloud timing and localized rainfall intensity ahead of the final 24-hour forecast update.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月1日馬尼拉的最低溫度？
9月1日馬尼拉的最低溫度？
22°C or below 60%
32°C或更高 60%
26°C 50%
25°C 49%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
22°C or below
60%
23°C
18%
24°C
48%
25°C
49%
26°C
50%
27°C
26%
28°C
26%
29°C
49%
30°C
49%
31°C
2%
32°C或更高
60%
22°C or below 60%
32°C或更高 60%
26°C 50%
25°C 49%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
22°C or below
$0 交易量
60%
23°C
$0 交易量
18%
24°C
$0 交易量
48%
25°C
$0 交易量
49%
26°C
$0 交易量
50%
27°C
$0 交易量
26%
28°C
$0 交易量
26%
29°C
$0 交易量
49%
30°C
$0 交易量
49%
31°C
$0 交易量
2%
32°C或更高
$0 交易量
60%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon flow and widespread cloud cover over Metro Manila are anchoring overnight minimum temperatures near 26–27°C for September 1, consistent with PAGASA guidance and ensemble model consensus. High humidity (80–90%) and frequent showers limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping the lowest reading well above the 22°C threshold while also capping daytime peaks near 30°C. Recent model runs show only modest spread in the 25–28°C range, with any brief clearing unlikely to produce significant additional cooling given the moist boundary layer. Traders therefore price the 27°C outcome near the middle of the distribution, while the split between warmer and cooler tails reflects residual uncertainty in exact cloud timing and localized rainfall intensity ahead of the final 24-hour forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 30, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:32 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon flow and widespread cloud cover over Metro Manila are anchoring overnight minimum temperatures near 26–27°C for September 1, consistent with PAGASA guidance and ensemble model consensus. High humidity (80–90%) and frequent showers limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping the lowest reading well above the 22°C threshold while also capping daytime peaks near 30°C. Recent model runs show only modest spread in the 25–28°C range, with any brief clearing unlikely to produce significant additional cooling given the moist boundary layer. Traders therefore price the 27°C outcome near the middle of the distribution, while the split between warmer and cooler tails reflects residual uncertainty in exact cloud timing and localized rainfall intensity ahead of the final 24-hour forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:32 AM ETPersistent southwest monsoon flow and widespread cloud cover over Metro Manila are anchoring overnight minimum temperatures near 26–27°C for September 1, consistent with PAGASA guidance and ensemble model consensus. High humidity (80–90%) and frequent showers limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping the lowest reading well above the 22°C threshold while also capping daytime peaks near 30°C. Recent model runs show only modest spread in the 25–28°C range, with any brief clearing unlikely to produce significant additional cooling given the moist boundary layer. Traders therefore price the 27°C outcome near the middle of the distribution, while the split between warmer and cooler tails reflects residual uncertainty in exact cloud timing and localized rainfall intensity ahead of the final 24-hour forecast update.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions