**Trader sentiment for Manila's August 30 lowest temperature clusters tightly around 24–27°C (each 44.5–47%), reflecting genuine uncertainty in the precise overnight minimum amid ongoing southwest monsoon conditions.** Persistent cloud cover, high humidity (often 85–95%), and scattered to heavy rainfall limit nighttime radiative cooling, keeping surface temperatures from dropping sharply in this tropical urban setting. Official and model guidance points to an overnight low near 26–27°C (roughly 79–81°F), consistent with typical August climatology under active monsoon flow, though localized clearing or heavier rain timing could nudge readings a degree or two lower or higher. Dew points remaining near 24°C further support a floor around the mid-20s. The near-even market-implied odds capture this narrow but real variability: models and observations can diverge slightly on exact minimums depending on wind shifts, rainfall intensity, and urban heat-island effects. With the day nearly complete and no major tropical cyclone influences noted, resolution hinges on the final verified reading from standard meteorological stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日馬尼拉的最低溫度？
8月30日馬尼拉的最低溫度？
22°C 90%
26°C 48%
25°C 46%
23°C 2%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
21°C or below
1%
22°C
90%
23°C
2%
24°C
47%
25°C
46%
26°C
48%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
22°C 90%
26°C 48%
25°C 46%
23°C 2%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
21°C or below
$186 交易量
1%
22°C
$32 交易量
90%
23°C
$6 交易量
2%
24°C
$6 交易量
47%
25°C
$0 交易量
46%
26°C
$0 交易量
48%
27°C
$265 交易量
<1%
28°C
$82 交易量
<1%
29°C
$50 交易量
<1%
30°C
$175 交易量
<1%
31°C or higher
$60 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Manila's August 30 lowest temperature clusters tightly around 24–27°C (each 44.5–47%), reflecting genuine uncertainty in the precise overnight minimum amid ongoing southwest monsoon conditions.**
Persistent cloud cover, high humidity (often 85–95%), and scattered to heavy rainfall limit nighttime radiative cooling, keeping surface temperatures from dropping sharply in this tropical urban setting. Official and model guidance points to an overnight low near 26–27°C (roughly 79–81°F), consistent with typical August climatology under active monsoon flow, though localized clearing or heavier rain timing could nudge readings a degree or two lower or higher. Dew points remaining near 24°C further support a floor around the mid-20s.
The near-even market-implied odds capture this narrow but real variability: models and observations can diverge slightly on exact minimums depending on wind shifts, rainfall intensity, and urban heat-island effects. With the day nearly complete and no major tropical cyclone influences noted, resolution hinges on the final verified reading from standard meteorological stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 28, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
交易量
$864結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:32 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Manila's August 30 lowest temperature clusters tightly around 24–27°C (each 44.5–47%), reflecting genuine uncertainty in the precise overnight minimum amid ongoing southwest monsoon conditions.**
Persistent cloud cover, high humidity (often 85–95%), and scattered to heavy rainfall limit nighttime radiative cooling, keeping surface temperatures from dropping sharply in this tropical urban setting. Official and model guidance points to an overnight low near 26–27°C (roughly 79–81°F), consistent with typical August climatology under active monsoon flow, though localized clearing or heavier rain timing could nudge readings a degree or two lower or higher. Dew points remaining near 24°C further support a floor around the mid-20s.
The near-even market-implied odds capture this narrow but real variability: models and observations can diverge slightly on exact minimums depending on wind shifts, rainfall intensity, and urban heat-island effects. With the day nearly complete and no major tropical cyclone influences noted, resolution hinges on the final verified reading from standard meteorological stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$864結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:32 AM ET**Trader sentiment for Manila's August 30 lowest temperature clusters tightly around 24–27°C (each 44.5–47%), reflecting genuine uncertainty in the precise overnight minimum amid ongoing southwest monsoon conditions.** Persistent cloud cover, high humidity (often 85–95%), and scattered to heavy rainfall limit nighttime radiative cooling, keeping surface temperatures from dropping sharply in this tropical urban setting. Official and model guidance points to an overnight low near 26–27°C (roughly 79–81°F), consistent with typical August climatology under active monsoon flow, though localized clearing or heavier rain timing could nudge readings a degree or two lower or higher. Dew points remaining near 24°C further support a floor around the mid-20s. The near-even market-implied odds capture this narrow but real variability: models and observations can diverge slightly on exact minimums depending on wind shifts, rainfall intensity, and urban heat-island effects. With the day nearly complete and no major tropical cyclone influences noted, resolution hinges on the final verified reading from standard meteorological stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions