Trader consensus centers on a 25°C minimum for Guangzhou on September 1 due to convergent numerical weather predictions from major models indicating overnight stabilization near the long-term September 1 average low of 25.1°C. Persistent northeasterly flow, high humidity above 70%, and limited nocturnal cooling under cloudy conditions with scattered showers support this outcome, aligning with recent observational trends and the absence of strong cold advection. Official stations typically record the daily low between 24–26°C under similar early-autumn patterns. A sharper-than-expected rain-cooled downdraft or unforecast northerly surge could push readings to 24°C or lower, though current guidance shows low probability of such deviation before midnight local time.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月1日廣州最低溫度？
9月1日廣州最低溫度？
25°C 100.0%
24°C 20%
21°C 16%
23°C 16%
$2,994 交易量
$2,994 交易量
2026-09-01
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
24°C 20%
21°C 16%
23°C 16%
$2,994 交易量
$2,994 交易量
2026-09-01
20°C or below
$494 交易量
No
21°C
$145 交易量
No
22°C
$78 交易量
No
23°C
$0 交易量
No
24°C
$0 交易量
No
25°C
$435 交易量
Yes
26°C
$237 交易量
No
27°C
$85 交易量
No
28°C
$75 交易量
No
29°C
$275 交易量
No
30°C or higher
$1,169 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on a 25°C minimum for Guangzhou on September 1 due to convergent numerical weather predictions from major models indicating overnight stabilization near the long-term September 1 average low of 25.1°C. Persistent northeasterly flow, high humidity above 70%, and limited nocturnal cooling under cloudy conditions with scattered showers support this outcome, aligning with recent observational trends and the absence of strong cold advection. Official stations typically record the daily low between 24–26°C under similar early-autumn patterns. A sharper-than-expected rain-cooled downdraft or unforecast northerly surge could push readings to 24°C or lower, though current guidance shows low probability of such deviation before midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$2,994結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on a 25°C minimum for Guangzhou on September 1 due to convergent numerical weather predictions from major models indicating overnight stabilization near the long-term September 1 average low of 25.1°C. Persistent northeasterly flow, high humidity above 70%, and limited nocturnal cooling under cloudy conditions with scattered showers support this outcome, aligning with recent observational trends and the absence of strong cold advection. Official stations typically record the daily low between 24–26°C under similar early-autumn patterns. A sharper-than-expected rain-cooled downdraft or unforecast northerly surge could push readings to 24°C or lower, though current guidance shows low probability of such deviation before midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,994結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus centers on a 25°C minimum for Guangzhou on September 1 due to convergent numerical weather predictions from major models indicating overnight stabilization near the long-term September 1 average low of 25.1°C. Persistent northeasterly flow, high humidity above 70%, and limited nocturnal cooling under cloudy conditions with scattered showers support this outcome, aligning with recent observational trends and the absence of strong cold advection. Official stations typically record the daily low between 24–26°C under similar early-autumn patterns. A sharper-than-expected rain-cooled downdraft or unforecast northerly surge could push readings to 24°C or lower, though current guidance shows low probability of such deviation before midnight local time.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions