Recent forecasts from multiple models project a minimum temperature near 22–25°C for Chongqing on September 1, reflecting the seasonal transition from summer monsoon influences toward autumn cooling under predominantly clear, high-pressure conditions with light northeasterly winds and low precipitation risk. Historical early-September lows average around 23–24°C, though interannual variability and local urban heat effects can shift overnight minima by several degrees depending on cloud cover and humidity. The market's elevated weighting toward 18°C or below alongside 20–23°C outcomes captures residual model uncertainty in radiative cooling rates and any late adjustments from updated China Meteorological Administration or global ensemble runs expected before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月1日重慶最低氣溫?
18°C or below 79%
21°C 27%
22°C 27%
23°C 27%
18°C or below
79%
19°C
24%
20°C
26%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
25%
25°C
10%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
18°C or below 79%
21°C 27%
22°C 27%
23°C 27%
18°C or below
79%
19°C
24%
20°C
26%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
25%
25°C
10%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models project a minimum temperature near 22–25°C for Chongqing on September 1, reflecting the seasonal transition from summer monsoon influences toward autumn cooling under predominantly clear, high-pressure conditions with light northeasterly winds and low precipitation risk. Historical early-September lows average around 23–24°C, though interannual variability and local urban heat effects can shift overnight minima by several degrees depending on cloud cover and humidity. The market's elevated weighting toward 18°C or below alongside 20–23°C outcomes captures residual model uncertainty in radiative cooling rates and any late adjustments from updated China Meteorological Administration or global ensemble runs expected before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions