Recent clearing skies following localized heavy rain on August 28–29 have allowed modest overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy conditions, positioning the lowest temperature near 24°C according to consensus from regional models and station observations. Chongqing’s subtropical monsoon climate, combined with high humidity (often 60–90%) and urban heat retention, typically limits August nocturnal drops to the mid-20s even as daytime highs reach 34–35°C. Official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Observatory and international guidance consistently indicate a minimum of 24–25°C for August 31, with limited model spread supporting the dominant market-implied probability at 24°C while assigning only marginal odds to a dip to 23°C under stronger clear-sky cooling.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月31日重慶最低氣溫?
24°C 99.5%
22°C 1.0%
23°C 1.0%
18°C or below <1%
$1,467 交易量
$1,467 交易量
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
24°C 99.5%
22°C 1.0%
23°C 1.0%
18°C or below <1%
$1,467 交易量
$1,467 交易量
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Recent clearing skies following localized heavy rain on August 28–29 have allowed modest overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy conditions, positioning the lowest temperature near 24°C according to consensus from regional models and station observations. Chongqing’s subtropical monsoon climate, combined with high humidity (often 60–90%) and urban heat retention, typically limits August nocturnal drops to the mid-20s even as daytime highs reach 34–35°C. Official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Observatory and international guidance consistently indicate a minimum of 24–25°C for August 31, with limited model spread supporting the dominant market-implied probability at 24°C while assigning only marginal odds to a dip to 23°C under stronger clear-sky cooling.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions