**Trader consensus centers on a 21°C minimum for Chongqing on September 2, 2026, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies that allow efficient nocturnal radiative cooling under low humidity.** Official forecasts from multiple models consistently project an overnight low near 22–23°C, aligning closely with the market-implied outcome and historical early-September baselines for the region (typical minima 22–25°C). With minimal cloud cover and light easterly winds, heat loss from the surface proceeds without significant trapping of longwave radiation. A sudden increase in low-level moisture or unexpected convective activity could elevate the minimum by limiting cooling, while an unforecasted cold-air intrusion remains improbable given current steering patterns and model agreement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日重慶最低氣溫?
21°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$9,616 交易量
$9,616 交易量
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$9,616 交易量
$9,616 交易量
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
**Trader consensus centers on a 21°C minimum for Chongqing on September 2, 2026, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies that allow efficient nocturnal radiative cooling under low humidity.** Official forecasts from multiple models consistently project an overnight low near 22–23°C, aligning closely with the market-implied outcome and historical early-September baselines for the region (typical minima 22–25°C). With minimal cloud cover and light easterly winds, heat loss from the surface proceeds without significant trapping of longwave radiation. A sudden increase in low-level moisture or unexpected convective activity could elevate the minimum by limiting cooling, while an unforecasted cold-air intrusion remains improbable given current steering patterns and model agreement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions