Recent forecasts for Chongqing on September 5, 2026, from sources including local meteorological data and models indicate an overnight low near 25–26°C under partly cloudy skies, light southeasterly winds, and low precipitation chances, supporting the leading 66.5% market-implied probability for 26°C. Persistent warmth aligns with El Niño-driven patterns elevating temperatures across southwestern China, delaying typical September cooling from the 22°C historical average minimum. Model consensus shows limited overnight radiative cooling due to humidity and cloud cover, while later-week drops to 18–20°C remain possible but not imminent. New observational updates or revised model runs could refine these implied odds ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月5日重慶最低氣溫？
9月5日重慶最低氣溫？
20°C或以下 71%
23°C 11%
22°C 10%
27°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
20°C或以下
71%
21°C
-
22°C
10%
23°C
11%
24°C
-
25°C
35%
26°C
-
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C或以上
<1%
20°C或以下 71%
23°C 11%
22°C 10%
27°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
20°C或以下
$75 交易量
71%
21°C
$21 交易量
-
22°C
$22 交易量
10%
23°C
$22 交易量
11%
24°C
$116 交易量
-
25°C
$116 交易量
35%
26°C
$637 交易量
-
27°C
$35 交易量
<1%
28°C
$1,035 交易量
<1%
29°C
$35 交易量
<1%
30°C或以上
$81 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chongqing on September 5, 2026, from sources including local meteorological data and models indicate an overnight low near 25–26°C under partly cloudy skies, light southeasterly winds, and low precipitation chances, supporting the leading 66.5% market-implied probability for 26°C. Persistent warmth aligns with El Niño-driven patterns elevating temperatures across southwestern China, delaying typical September cooling from the 22°C historical average minimum. Model consensus shows limited overnight radiative cooling due to humidity and cloud cover, while later-week drops to 18–20°C remain possible but not imminent. New observational updates or revised model runs could refine these implied odds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$2,195結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chongqing on September 5, 2026, from sources including local meteorological data and models indicate an overnight low near 25–26°C under partly cloudy skies, light southeasterly winds, and low precipitation chances, supporting the leading 66.5% market-implied probability for 26°C. Persistent warmth aligns with El Niño-driven patterns elevating temperatures across southwestern China, delaying typical September cooling from the 22°C historical average minimum. Model consensus shows limited overnight radiative cooling due to humidity and cloud cover, while later-week drops to 18–20°C remain possible but not imminent. New observational updates or revised model runs could refine these implied odds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,195結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts for Chongqing on September 5, 2026, from sources including local meteorological data and models indicate an overnight low near 25–26°C under partly cloudy skies, light southeasterly winds, and low precipitation chances, supporting the leading 66.5% market-implied probability for 26°C. Persistent warmth aligns with El Niño-driven patterns elevating temperatures across southwestern China, delaying typical September cooling from the 22°C historical average minimum. Model consensus shows limited overnight radiative cooling due to humidity and cloud cover, while later-week drops to 18–20°C remain possible but not imminent. New observational updates or revised model runs could refine these implied odds ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions