Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a sunny, high-pressure pattern with southerly flow sustaining daytime heating across north Texas, producing forecast highs of 99–101°F for Dallas on September 7. This exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 92°F and follows several consecutive days of 98–100°F readings. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between the 98–99°F and 100–101°F bins reflects genuine forecast uncertainty around peak insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day cloud development that could trim or enhance the maximum by 1–2°F. Updated model runs and afternoon observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise temperature threshold used for market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月7日達拉斯的最高溫度?
98-99°F 37%
100-101華氏度 37%
96-97華氏度 20%
94-95華氏度 17%
89°F或以下
1%
90-91°F
7%
92-93°F
1%
94-95華氏度
17%
96-97華氏度
20%
98-99°F
37%
100-101華氏度
37%
102-103°F
15%
104-105°F
17%
106-107°F
16%
華氏108度或更高
13%
98-99°F 37%
100-101華氏度 37%
96-97華氏度 20%
94-95華氏度 17%
89°F或以下
1%
90-91°F
7%
92-93°F
1%
94-95華氏度
17%
96-97華氏度
20%
98-99°F
37%
100-101華氏度
37%
102-103°F
15%
104-105°F
17%
106-107°F
16%
華氏108度或更高
13%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 5, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a sunny, high-pressure pattern with southerly flow sustaining daytime heating across north Texas, producing forecast highs of 99–101°F for Dallas on September 7. This exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 92°F and follows several consecutive days of 98–100°F readings. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between the 98–99°F and 100–101°F bins reflects genuine forecast uncertainty around peak insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day cloud development that could trim or enhance the maximum by 1–2°F. Updated model runs and afternoon observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise temperature threshold used for market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions