Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a stable high-pressure ridge over the Northeast, delivering sunny skies and northwest winds of 5–10 mph that favor a maximum temperature near the seasonal average of 79°F for September 7 in New York City. Official point forecasts cluster between 78–80°F, aligning with the market’s leading 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins. Differentiation among nearby ranges stems from subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, exact peak timing, and station-specific microclimates—Central Park versus coastal airports—plus minor ensemble spread in afternoon dew points and insolation under clear conditions. No significant fronts or moisture intrusions are expected before resolution, keeping the distribution tightly centered on near-normal values.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月7日紐約市的最高溫度?
78-79°F 33%
80-81°F 30%
76-77°F 20%
74-75°F 19%
華氏69度或以下
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
10%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
20%
78-79°F
33%
80-81°F
30%
82-83°F
17%
84-85華氏度
17%
86-87°F
17%
88°F或更高
2%
78-79°F 33%
80-81°F 30%
76-77°F 20%
74-75°F 19%
華氏69度或以下
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
10%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
20%
78-79°F
33%
80-81°F
30%
82-83°F
17%
84-85華氏度
17%
86-87°F
17%
88°F或更高
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 5, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a stable high-pressure ridge over the Northeast, delivering sunny skies and northwest winds of 5–10 mph that favor a maximum temperature near the seasonal average of 79°F for September 7 in New York City. Official point forecasts cluster between 78–80°F, aligning with the market’s leading 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins. Differentiation among nearby ranges stems from subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, exact peak timing, and station-specific microclimates—Central Park versus coastal airports—plus minor ensemble spread in afternoon dew points and insolation under clear conditions. No significant fronts or moisture intrusions are expected before resolution, keeping the distribution tightly centered on near-normal values.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions