The National Weather Service climate summary for San Francisco International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of exactly 56°F on September 7, 2026, reached around 6:15 a.m. local time under clear to hazy conditions with light winds. This value matched the 1991–2020 normal low for the date and aligned directly with the 56–57°F bin that captured full market-implied probability. Early-morning METAR observations showed readings in the mid-50s before gradual warming, consistent with typical September marine influence and the absence of strong offshore flow or anomalous cooling. Only a substantial revision to official station data or a shift to a different reporting site could realistically alter resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月7日舊金山的最低溫度?
56-57°F 100.0%
47°F或以下 <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$1,866 交易量
$1,866 交易量
47°F或以下
否
48-49°F
否
50-51°F
否
52-53°F
否
54-55°F
否
56-57°F
是
58-59°F
否
60-61°F
否
62-63°F
否
64-65°F
否
66°F或以上
否
56-57°F 100.0%
47°F或以下 <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$1,866 交易量
$1,866 交易量
47°F或以下
否
48-49°F
否
50-51°F
否
52-53°F
否
54-55°F
否
56-57°F
是
58-59°F
否
60-61°F
否
62-63°F
否
64-65°F
否
66°F或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 5, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The National Weather Service climate summary for San Francisco International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of exactly 56°F on September 7, 2026, reached around 6:15 a.m. local time under clear to hazy conditions with light winds. This value matched the 1991–2020 normal low for the date and aligned directly with the 56–57°F bin that captured full market-implied probability. Early-morning METAR observations showed readings in the mid-50s before gradual warming, consistent with typical September marine influence and the absence of strong offshore flow or anomalous cooling. Only a substantial revision to official station data or a shift to a different reporting site could realistically alter resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions