The dominant 95.5% market-implied odds for a 72–73°F low in Los Angeles on September 7 reflect the official National Weather Service observation at Los Angeles International Airport, where the minimum reached exactly 73°F shortly after 5 a.m. local time—eight degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 65°F. This reading aligns with a persistent marine layer and above-average sea-surface temperatures that limited nocturnal cooling across the coastal basin, consistent with model guidance and station data showing overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s. While a different official station or measurement window could theoretically alter resolution, the strong consensus rests on verified NWS records rather than forecasts, leaving little realistic scope for deviation absent an unreported data revision.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於洛杉磯9月7日的最低溫度？
洛杉磯9月7日的最低溫度？
72-73°F 99.5%
70-71°F 1.0%
華氏59度或以下 <1%
60-61°F <1%
$1,506 交易量
$1,506 交易量
2026-09-07
華氏59度或以下
否
60-61°F
否
62-63°F
否
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
是
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78°F或以上
否
72-73°F 99.5%
70-71°F 1.0%
華氏59度或以下 <1%
60-61°F <1%
$1,506 交易量
$1,506 交易量
2026-09-07
華氏59度或以下
$170 交易量
否
60-61°F
$40 交易量
否
62-63°F
$40 交易量
否
64-65°F
$90 交易量
否
66-67°F
$81 交易量
否
68-69°F
$240 交易量
否
70-71°F
$61 交易量
否
72-73°F
$431 交易量
是
74-75°F
$188 交易量
否
76-77°F
$95 交易量
否
78°F或以上
$70 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The dominant 95.5% market-implied odds for a 72–73°F low in Los Angeles on September 7 reflect the official National Weather Service observation at Los Angeles International Airport, where the minimum reached exactly 73°F shortly after 5 a.m. local time—eight degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 65°F. This reading aligns with a persistent marine layer and above-average sea-surface temperatures that limited nocturnal cooling across the coastal basin, consistent with model guidance and station data showing overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s. While a different official station or measurement window could theoretically alter resolution, the strong consensus rests on verified NWS records rather than forecasts, leaving little realistic scope for deviation absent an unreported data revision.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 5, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
交易量
$1,506結束日期
2026-09-07市場開放時間
Sep 5, 2026, 7:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The dominant 95.5% market-implied odds for a 72–73°F low in Los Angeles on September 7 reflect the official National Weather Service observation at Los Angeles International Airport, where the minimum reached exactly 73°F shortly after 5 a.m. local time—eight degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 65°F. This reading aligns with a persistent marine layer and above-average sea-surface temperatures that limited nocturnal cooling across the coastal basin, consistent with model guidance and station data showing overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s. While a different official station or measurement window could theoretically alter resolution, the strong consensus rests on verified NWS records rather than forecasts, leaving little realistic scope for deviation absent an unreported data revision.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,506結束日期
2026-09-07市場開放時間
Sep 5, 2026, 7:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The dominant 95.5% market-implied odds for a 72–73°F low in Los Angeles on September 7 reflect the official National Weather Service observation at Los Angeles International Airport, where the minimum reached exactly 73°F shortly after 5 a.m. local time—eight degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 65°F. This reading aligns with a persistent marine layer and above-average sea-surface temperatures that limited nocturnal cooling across the coastal basin, consistent with model guidance and station data showing overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s. While a different official station or measurement window could theoretically alter resolution, the strong consensus rests on verified NWS records rather than forecasts, leaving little realistic scope for deviation absent an unreported data revision.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions