Current forecast models project a minimum temperature near 26°C in Chongqing on September 4 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and a stable high-pressure ridge suppressing nocturnal cooling. Recent observations from the past 48 hours show overnight lows holding in the mid-20s°C amid above-average daytime heat, with no incoming cold fronts or significant moisture to drive sharper drops. This aligns with early-September climatology for the region, where typical lows range 21–22°C but warmer anomalies have persisted. Trader consensus at 90% implied probability for 26°C reflects agreement across ensemble guidance on minimal variability, though final station readings near resolution could shift if boundary-layer mixing differs from expectations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月4日重慶最低氣溫？
9月4日重慶最低氣溫？
26°C 99%
19°C或以下 1.0%
20°C 1.0%
21°C 1.0%
$1,078 交易量
$1,078 交易量
2026-09-04
19°C或以下
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
是
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C或以上
否
26°C 99%
19°C或以下 1.0%
20°C 1.0%
21°C 1.0%
$1,078 交易量
$1,078 交易量
2026-09-04
19°C或以下
$142 交易量
否
20°C
$142 交易量
否
21°C
$122 交易量
否
22°C
$72 交易量
否
23°C
$164 交易量
否
24°C
$220 交易量
否
25°C
$96 交易量
否
26°C
$15 交易量
是
27°C
$35 交易量
否
28°C
$35 交易量
否
29°C或以上
$35 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models project a minimum temperature near 26°C in Chongqing on September 4 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and a stable high-pressure ridge suppressing nocturnal cooling. Recent observations from the past 48 hours show overnight lows holding in the mid-20s°C amid above-average daytime heat, with no incoming cold fronts or significant moisture to drive sharper drops. This aligns with early-September climatology for the region, where typical lows range 21–22°C but warmer anomalies have persisted. Trader consensus at 90% implied probability for 26°C reflects agreement across ensemble guidance on minimal variability, though final station readings near resolution could shift if boundary-layer mixing differs from expectations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$1,078結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models project a minimum temperature near 26°C in Chongqing on September 4 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and a stable high-pressure ridge suppressing nocturnal cooling. Recent observations from the past 48 hours show overnight lows holding in the mid-20s°C amid above-average daytime heat, with no incoming cold fronts or significant moisture to drive sharper drops. This aligns with early-September climatology for the region, where typical lows range 21–22°C but warmer anomalies have persisted. Trader consensus at 90% implied probability for 26°C reflects agreement across ensemble guidance on minimal variability, though final station readings near resolution could shift if boundary-layer mixing differs from expectations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,078結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Current forecast models project a minimum temperature near 26°C in Chongqing on September 4 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and a stable high-pressure ridge suppressing nocturnal cooling. Recent observations from the past 48 hours show overnight lows holding in the mid-20s°C amid above-average daytime heat, with no incoming cold fronts or significant moisture to drive sharper drops. This aligns with early-September climatology for the region, where typical lows range 21–22°C but warmer anomalies have persisted. Trader consensus at 90% implied probability for 26°C reflects agreement across ensemble guidance on minimal variability, though final station readings near resolution could shift if boundary-layer mixing differs from expectations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions