**Trader consensus heavily favors an 82-83°F low in Dallas on September 5, reflecting a strong warm air mass and elevated minimum temperatures amid a late-summer heat wave.** Official National Weather Service observations recorded a minimum near 79°F under clear skies and light southerly winds, consistent with recent days when overnight lows remained in the upper 70s to low 80s as daytime highs reached 100°F. This pattern stems from above-normal soil moisture deficits, suppressed cloud cover, and a persistent subtropical ridge that limited radiational cooling, pushing the daily low well above the 1991-2020 September 5 climatological normal of about 74°F. Market-implied odds above 90% for the 82-83°F bin align with pre-event model guidance and early station reports emphasizing these conditions, though final resolution hinges on the precise official reading from the primary DFW airport station. A sudden shift in wind or unforecast moisture could have lowered the minimum into the upper 70s, but such changes did not materialize.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月5日達拉斯的最低溫度？
9月5日達拉斯的最低溫度？
82-83°F 99.5%
76-77°F 8%
78-79°F 8%
74-75°F 2%
$4,434 交易量
$4,434 交易量
2026-09-05
67°F或以下
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
否
82-83°F
是
84-85°F
否
華氏86度或更高
否
82-83°F 99.5%
76-77°F 8%
78-79°F 8%
74-75°F 2%
$4,434 交易量
$4,434 交易量
2026-09-05
67°F或以下
$72 交易量
否
68-69°F
$72 交易量
否
70-71°F
$79 交易量
否
72-73°F
$69 交易量
否
74-75°F
$37 交易量
否
76-77°F
$37 交易量
否
78-79°F
$79 交易量
否
80-81°F
$270 交易量
否
82-83°F
$684 交易量
是
84-85°F
$3,002 交易量
否
華氏86度或更高
$32 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors an 82-83°F low in Dallas on September 5, reflecting a strong warm air mass and elevated minimum temperatures amid a late-summer heat wave.** Official National Weather Service observations recorded a minimum near 79°F under clear skies and light southerly winds, consistent with recent days when overnight lows remained in the upper 70s to low 80s as daytime highs reached 100°F. This pattern stems from above-normal soil moisture deficits, suppressed cloud cover, and a persistent subtropical ridge that limited radiational cooling, pushing the daily low well above the 1991-2020 September 5 climatological normal of about 74°F. Market-implied odds above 90% for the 82-83°F bin align with pre-event model guidance and early station reports emphasizing these conditions, though final resolution hinges on the precise official reading from the primary DFW airport station. A sudden shift in wind or unforecast moisture could have lowered the minimum into the upper 70s, but such changes did not materialize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 3, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$4,434結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 3:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors an 82-83°F low in Dallas on September 5, reflecting a strong warm air mass and elevated minimum temperatures amid a late-summer heat wave.** Official National Weather Service observations recorded a minimum near 79°F under clear skies and light southerly winds, consistent with recent days when overnight lows remained in the upper 70s to low 80s as daytime highs reached 100°F. This pattern stems from above-normal soil moisture deficits, suppressed cloud cover, and a persistent subtropical ridge that limited radiational cooling, pushing the daily low well above the 1991-2020 September 5 climatological normal of about 74°F. Market-implied odds above 90% for the 82-83°F bin align with pre-event model guidance and early station reports emphasizing these conditions, though final resolution hinges on the precise official reading from the primary DFW airport station. A sudden shift in wind or unforecast moisture could have lowered the minimum into the upper 70s, but such changes did not materialize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,434結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 3:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Trader consensus heavily favors an 82-83°F low in Dallas on September 5, reflecting a strong warm air mass and elevated minimum temperatures amid a late-summer heat wave.** Official National Weather Service observations recorded a minimum near 79°F under clear skies and light southerly winds, consistent with recent days when overnight lows remained in the upper 70s to low 80s as daytime highs reached 100°F. This pattern stems from above-normal soil moisture deficits, suppressed cloud cover, and a persistent subtropical ridge that limited radiational cooling, pushing the daily low well above the 1991-2020 September 5 climatological normal of about 74°F. Market-implied odds above 90% for the 82-83°F bin align with pre-event model guidance and early station reports emphasizing these conditions, though final resolution hinges on the precise official reading from the primary DFW airport station. A sudden shift in wind or unforecast moisture could have lowered the minimum into the upper 70s, but such changes did not materialize.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions