National Weather Service and NOAA Climate Prediction Center guidance for early September 2026 points to above-normal temperatures persisting across central Texas, with model consensus favoring daily highs in the mid-90s for Austin on September 5. This aligns with historical normals of 93–94°F for the date at Camp Mabry, tempered by a lingering warm pattern from a strong summer heat dome and delayed seasonal cooling. Key variables include high-pressure subsidence limiting cloud cover and Gulf moisture moderating overnight lows, while any weak frontal passage or increased convection could trim peaks by a degree or two. Trader emphasis on the 94–97°F range reflects these conditions, with lower odds on extremes due to the narrow 48-hour forecast window and typical model skill at this range. Updated NWS guidance and ensemble runs remain the primary near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月5日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
9月5日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
94-95華氏度 42%
96-97°F 30%
92-93°F 20%
90-91°F 15%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
85°F或以下
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
15%
92-93°F
20%
94-95華氏度
42%
96-97°F
30%
98-99°F
10%
100-101°F
5%
102-103華氏度
4%
華氏104度或以上
3%
94-95華氏度 42%
96-97°F 30%
92-93°F 20%
90-91°F 15%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
85°F或以下
$0 交易量
1%
86-87°F
$0 交易量
1%
88-89°F
$0 交易量
4%
90-91°F
$0 交易量
15%
92-93°F
$0 交易量
20%
94-95華氏度
$38 交易量
42%
96-97°F
$160 交易量
30%
98-99°F
$50 交易量
10%
100-101°F
$63 交易量
5%
102-103華氏度
$0 交易量
4%
華氏104度或以上
$0 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and NOAA Climate Prediction Center guidance for early September 2026 points to above-normal temperatures persisting across central Texas, with model consensus favoring daily highs in the mid-90s for Austin on September 5. This aligns with historical normals of 93–94°F for the date at Camp Mabry, tempered by a lingering warm pattern from a strong summer heat dome and delayed seasonal cooling. Key variables include high-pressure subsidence limiting cloud cover and Gulf moisture moderating overnight lows, while any weak frontal passage or increased convection could trim peaks by a degree or two. Trader emphasis on the 94–97°F range reflects these conditions, with lower odds on extremes due to the narrow 48-hour forecast window and typical model skill at this range. Updated NWS guidance and ensemble runs remain the primary near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 3, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
交易量
$310結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 2:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and NOAA Climate Prediction Center guidance for early September 2026 points to above-normal temperatures persisting across central Texas, with model consensus favoring daily highs in the mid-90s for Austin on September 5. This aligns with historical normals of 93–94°F for the date at Camp Mabry, tempered by a lingering warm pattern from a strong summer heat dome and delayed seasonal cooling. Key variables include high-pressure subsidence limiting cloud cover and Gulf moisture moderating overnight lows, while any weak frontal passage or increased convection could trim peaks by a degree or two. Trader emphasis on the 94–97°F range reflects these conditions, with lower odds on extremes due to the narrow 48-hour forecast window and typical model skill at this range. Updated NWS guidance and ensemble runs remain the primary near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$310結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 2:56 AM ETNational Weather Service and NOAA Climate Prediction Center guidance for early September 2026 points to above-normal temperatures persisting across central Texas, with model consensus favoring daily highs in the mid-90s for Austin on September 5. This aligns with historical normals of 93–94°F for the date at Camp Mabry, tempered by a lingering warm pattern from a strong summer heat dome and delayed seasonal cooling. Key variables include high-pressure subsidence limiting cloud cover and Gulf moisture moderating overnight lows, while any weak frontal passage or increased convection could trim peaks by a degree or two. Trader emphasis on the 94–97°F range reflects these conditions, with lower odds on extremes due to the narrow 48-hour forecast window and typical model skill at this range. Updated NWS guidance and ensemble runs remain the primary near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions