Recent weather model consensus points to persistent cloud cover, easterly flow, and widespread showers or thunderstorms across northern Taiwan on September 3, which are expected to limit solar heating and cap daytime maxima near or slightly below the early-September climatological average of 31°C. High humidity and potential for heavy afternoon convection further suppress temperature recovery between rain bands, creating tight differentiation among the 30–32°C outcomes that dominate trader positioning. Updated guidance from regional agencies highlights model spread in precipitation timing and intensity, introducing modest uncertainty around the precise peak while historical analogs show similar synoptic patterns often yielding highs in this narrow range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月3日臺北氣溫最高?
32°C 33%
31°C 29%
30°C 22%
29°C 13%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
13%
30°C
22%
31°C
29%
32°C
33%
33°C
13%
34°C
7%
35°C or higher
1%
32°C 33%
31°C 29%
30°C 22%
29°C 13%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
13%
30°C
22%
31°C
29%
32°C
33%
33°C
13%
34°C
7%
35°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent weather model consensus points to persistent cloud cover, easterly flow, and widespread showers or thunderstorms across northern Taiwan on September 3, which are expected to limit solar heating and cap daytime maxima near or slightly below the early-September climatological average of 31°C. High humidity and potential for heavy afternoon convection further suppress temperature recovery between rain bands, creating tight differentiation among the 30–32°C outcomes that dominate trader positioning. Updated guidance from regional agencies highlights model spread in precipitation timing and intensity, introducing modest uncertainty around the precise peak while historical analogs show similar synoptic patterns often yielding highs in this narrow range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions