Recent numerical weather prediction guidance from models including GFS and ECMWF consensus shows a stable anticyclonic regime over northern Italy through August 30, with clear skies, light southerly flow, and strong daytime solar insolation expected to drive maximum temperatures in Milan to 29–30°C. This aligns closely with market-implied probabilities favoring those outcomes at 34% and 44.5%, respectively. Limited cloud cover and dry boundary-layer conditions support efficient surface heating without significant convective inhibition or advection of cooler air. Ensemble spreads remain narrow this close to the event, though minor revisions could occur with the next 12–24 hour model cycles from regional agencies. Historical late-August baselines for the Po Valley average near 27–28°C, making the current setup modestly above climatology due to persistent high pressure.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日米蘭的最高溫度？
8月30日米蘭的最高溫度？
30°C 44%
29°C 34%
31°C 17%
32°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
7%
29°C
34%
30°C
44%
31°C
17%
32°C
9%
33°C or higher
6%
30°C 44%
29°C 34%
31°C 17%
32°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
23°C or below
$0 交易量
<1%
24°C
$0 交易量
<1%
25°C
$0 交易量
<1%
26°C
$0 交易量
1%
27°C
$0 交易量
2%
28°C
$4 交易量
7%
29°C
$135 交易量
34%
30°C
$91 交易量
44%
31°C
$10 交易量
17%
32°C
$0 交易量
9%
33°C or higher
$0 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction guidance from models including GFS and ECMWF consensus shows a stable anticyclonic regime over northern Italy through August 30, with clear skies, light southerly flow, and strong daytime solar insolation expected to drive maximum temperatures in Milan to 29–30°C. This aligns closely with market-implied probabilities favoring those outcomes at 34% and 44.5%, respectively. Limited cloud cover and dry boundary-layer conditions support efficient surface heating without significant convective inhibition or advection of cooler air. Ensemble spreads remain narrow this close to the event, though minor revisions could occur with the next 12–24 hour model cycles from regional agencies. Historical late-August baselines for the Po Valley average near 27–28°C, making the current setup modestly above climatology due to persistent high pressure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$240結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction guidance from models including GFS and ECMWF consensus shows a stable anticyclonic regime over northern Italy through August 30, with clear skies, light southerly flow, and strong daytime solar insolation expected to drive maximum temperatures in Milan to 29–30°C. This aligns closely with market-implied probabilities favoring those outcomes at 34% and 44.5%, respectively. Limited cloud cover and dry boundary-layer conditions support efficient surface heating without significant convective inhibition or advection of cooler air. Ensemble spreads remain narrow this close to the event, though minor revisions could occur with the next 12–24 hour model cycles from regional agencies. Historical late-August baselines for the Po Valley average near 27–28°C, making the current setup modestly above climatology due to persistent high pressure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$240結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction guidance from models including GFS and ECMWF consensus shows a stable anticyclonic regime over northern Italy through August 30, with clear skies, light southerly flow, and strong daytime solar insolation expected to drive maximum temperatures in Milan to 29–30°C. This aligns closely with market-implied probabilities favoring those outcomes at 34% and 44.5%, respectively. Limited cloud cover and dry boundary-layer conditions support efficient surface heating without significant convective inhibition or advection of cooler air. Ensemble spreads remain narrow this close to the event, though minor revisions could occur with the next 12–24 hour model cycles from regional agencies. Historical late-August baselines for the Po Valley average near 27–28°C, making the current setup modestly above climatology due to persistent high pressure.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions