Recent model consensus from agencies including the South African Weather Service and global ensembles points to a daytime maximum of 15–17°C in Cape Town on 30 August, driven by clearing skies behind a frontal passage and persistent southerly flow off the cooler Benguela Current that limits advective warming. Light winds and reduced cloud cover will allow modest radiative heating during peak insolation hours, yet August’s low solar angle keeps values near the seasonal mean of 16–17°C. Trader emphasis on the 17°C outcome reflects the narrow spread across official forecasts and the possibility of brief localized warming in sheltered urban stations, while lower probabilities for 18°C or above align with the absence of warmer northerly flow or subsidence. Updated runs expected overnight will refine resolution criteria based on the official Cape Town International Airport reading.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於開普敦8月30日的最高溫度？
開普敦8月30日的最高溫度？
17°C 51%
16°C 26%
18°C 19%
15°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
12°C或以下
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
5%
16°C
26%
17°C
51%
18°C
19%
19°C
4%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C或更高
<1%
17°C 51%
16°C 26%
18°C 19%
15°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
12°C或以下
$25 交易量
<1%
13°C
$184 交易量
<1%
14°C
$135 交易量
2%
15°C
$263 交易量
5%
16°C
$498 交易量
26%
17°C
$769 交易量
51%
18°C
$745 交易量
19%
19°C
$243 交易量
4%
20°C
$102 交易量
<1%
21°C
$408 交易量
<1%
22°C或更高
$774 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies including the South African Weather Service and global ensembles points to a daytime maximum of 15–17°C in Cape Town on 30 August, driven by clearing skies behind a frontal passage and persistent southerly flow off the cooler Benguela Current that limits advective warming. Light winds and reduced cloud cover will allow modest radiative heating during peak insolation hours, yet August’s low solar angle keeps values near the seasonal mean of 16–17°C. Trader emphasis on the 17°C outcome reflects the narrow spread across official forecasts and the possibility of brief localized warming in sheltered urban stations, while lower probabilities for 18°C or above align with the absence of warmer northerly flow or subsidence. Updated runs expected overnight will refine resolution criteria based on the official Cape Town International Airport reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$4,147結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies including the South African Weather Service and global ensembles points to a daytime maximum of 15–17°C in Cape Town on 30 August, driven by clearing skies behind a frontal passage and persistent southerly flow off the cooler Benguela Current that limits advective warming. Light winds and reduced cloud cover will allow modest radiative heating during peak insolation hours, yet August’s low solar angle keeps values near the seasonal mean of 16–17°C. Trader emphasis on the 17°C outcome reflects the narrow spread across official forecasts and the possibility of brief localized warming in sheltered urban stations, while lower probabilities for 18°C or above align with the absence of warmer northerly flow or subsidence. Updated runs expected overnight will refine resolution criteria based on the official Cape Town International Airport reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,147結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent model consensus from agencies including the South African Weather Service and global ensembles points to a daytime maximum of 15–17°C in Cape Town on 30 August, driven by clearing skies behind a frontal passage and persistent southerly flow off the cooler Benguela Current that limits advective warming. Light winds and reduced cloud cover will allow modest radiative heating during peak insolation hours, yet August’s low solar angle keeps values near the seasonal mean of 16–17°C. Trader emphasis on the 17°C outcome reflects the narrow spread across official forecasts and the possibility of brief localized warming in sheltered urban stations, while lower probabilities for 18°C or above align with the absence of warmer northerly flow or subsidence. Updated runs expected overnight will refine resolution criteria based on the official Cape Town International Airport reading.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions