**Recent forecasts from multiple sources, including WeatherBug, WindBorne, Yr.no, and the South African Weather Service, point to a mild winter day in Cape Town on August 31 with southerly winds, mostly clear skies after any morning cloud, and a daily maximum in the 16–17°C range.** This follows a cooler, partly cloudy period around August 29 with light showers or fog patches, as a cold front exits and high pressure builds. Typical late-August climatology for Cape Town (winter in the Southern Hemisphere) features average highs near 17–18°C under the influence of the cold Benguela Current and Atlantic maritime air, so the outlook aligns closely with seasonal norms rather than showing strong anomalies. Model consensus emphasizes stable conditions with light to moderate southerly flow limiting daytime warming, while minimal cloud cover supports the expected peak. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on 17°C (32.5%) and 18°C (31.0%) because ensemble runs still carry small uncertainty in exact maximum—differences of 1°C can hinge on timing of any residual morning stratus, wind speed variations, or urban heat island effects at official stations. Lower probabilities for 16°C or below reflect the improving trend, while outcomes above 19°C remain low given the stable synoptic pattern and lack of warm advection. New model updates from agencies like SAWS or global centers (ECMWF/GFS) ahead of the 31st will likely tighten resolution criteria around observed station maxima.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於開普敦8月31日的最高溫度？
開普敦8月31日的最高溫度？
17°C 34%
18°C 31%
16°C 8%
19°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
12°C或以下
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
6%
16°C
8%
17°C
34%
18°C
31%
19°C
7%
20°C
4%
21°C
<1%
22°C或以上
<1%
17°C 34%
18°C 31%
16°C 8%
19°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
12°C或以下
$0 交易量
<1%
13°C
$130 交易量
1%
14°C
$0 交易量
2%
15°C
$0 交易量
6%
16°C
$190 交易量
8%
17°C
$247 交易量
34%
18°C
$15 交易量
31%
19°C
$377 交易量
7%
20°C
$28 交易量
4%
21°C
$42 交易量
<1%
22°C或以上
$0 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from multiple sources, including WeatherBug, WindBorne, Yr.no, and the South African Weather Service, point to a mild winter day in Cape Town on August 31 with southerly winds, mostly clear skies after any morning cloud, and a daily maximum in the 16–17°C range.** This follows a cooler, partly cloudy period around August 29 with light showers or fog patches, as a cold front exits and high pressure builds.
Typical late-August climatology for Cape Town (winter in the Southern Hemisphere) features average highs near 17–18°C under the influence of the cold Benguela Current and Atlantic maritime air, so the outlook aligns closely with seasonal norms rather than showing strong anomalies. Model consensus emphasizes stable conditions with light to moderate southerly flow limiting daytime warming, while minimal cloud cover supports the expected peak.
Trader sentiment clusters tightly on 17°C (32.5%) and 18°C (31.0%) because ensemble runs still carry small uncertainty in exact maximum—differences of 1°C can hinge on timing of any residual morning stratus, wind speed variations, or urban heat island effects at official stations. Lower probabilities for 16°C or below reflect the improving trend, while outcomes above 19°C remain low given the stable synoptic pattern and lack of warm advection. New model updates from agencies like SAWS or global centers (ECMWF/GFS) ahead of the 31st will likely tighten resolution criteria around observed station maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$1,029結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from multiple sources, including WeatherBug, WindBorne, Yr.no, and the South African Weather Service, point to a mild winter day in Cape Town on August 31 with southerly winds, mostly clear skies after any morning cloud, and a daily maximum in the 16–17°C range.** This follows a cooler, partly cloudy period around August 29 with light showers or fog patches, as a cold front exits and high pressure builds.
Typical late-August climatology for Cape Town (winter in the Southern Hemisphere) features average highs near 17–18°C under the influence of the cold Benguela Current and Atlantic maritime air, so the outlook aligns closely with seasonal norms rather than showing strong anomalies. Model consensus emphasizes stable conditions with light to moderate southerly flow limiting daytime warming, while minimal cloud cover supports the expected peak.
Trader sentiment clusters tightly on 17°C (32.5%) and 18°C (31.0%) because ensemble runs still carry small uncertainty in exact maximum—differences of 1°C can hinge on timing of any residual morning stratus, wind speed variations, or urban heat island effects at official stations. Lower probabilities for 16°C or below reflect the improving trend, while outcomes above 19°C remain low given the stable synoptic pattern and lack of warm advection. New model updates from agencies like SAWS or global centers (ECMWF/GFS) ahead of the 31st will likely tighten resolution criteria around observed station maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,029結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET**Recent forecasts from multiple sources, including WeatherBug, WindBorne, Yr.no, and the South African Weather Service, point to a mild winter day in Cape Town on August 31 with southerly winds, mostly clear skies after any morning cloud, and a daily maximum in the 16–17°C range.** This follows a cooler, partly cloudy period around August 29 with light showers or fog patches, as a cold front exits and high pressure builds. Typical late-August climatology for Cape Town (winter in the Southern Hemisphere) features average highs near 17–18°C under the influence of the cold Benguela Current and Atlantic maritime air, so the outlook aligns closely with seasonal norms rather than showing strong anomalies. Model consensus emphasizes stable conditions with light to moderate southerly flow limiting daytime warming, while minimal cloud cover supports the expected peak. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on 17°C (32.5%) and 18°C (31.0%) because ensemble runs still carry small uncertainty in exact maximum—differences of 1°C can hinge on timing of any residual morning stratus, wind speed variations, or urban heat island effects at official stations. Lower probabilities for 16°C or below reflect the improving trend, while outcomes above 19°C remain low given the stable synoptic pattern and lack of warm advection. New model updates from agencies like SAWS or global centers (ECMWF/GFS) ahead of the 31st will likely tighten resolution criteria around observed station maxima.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions