**Traders assign 100% implied probability to a 16°C daily maximum in Cape Town on August 29, 2026, reflecting the latest official station observations and model consensus.** Persistent southerly winds and extensive cloud cover have suppressed daytime heating, keeping temperatures aligned with late-winter climatology where typical maxima range 15–18°C. Real-time reports from Cape Town International Airport and nearby sites show afternoon peaks reaching but not exceeding 16°C, with current evening readings in the 13–14°C range under stable high pressure. Multiple forecast runs (including GFS and ECMWF guidance) confirm limited further warming potential before midnight. The outcome could shift only under an improbable late-day surge in insolation or wind reversal, scenarios not supported by current observational data or short-term model trends.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於開普敦8月29日的最高溫度?
16°C 100.0%
$30,937 交易量
$30,937 交易量
16°C
100%
16°C 100.0%
$30,937 交易量
$30,937 交易量
16°C
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Traders assign 100% implied probability to a 16°C daily maximum in Cape Town on August 29, 2026, reflecting the latest official station observations and model consensus.** Persistent southerly winds and extensive cloud cover have suppressed daytime heating, keeping temperatures aligned with late-winter climatology where typical maxima range 15–18°C. Real-time reports from Cape Town International Airport and nearby sites show afternoon peaks reaching but not exceeding 16°C, with current evening readings in the 13–14°C range under stable high pressure. Multiple forecast runs (including GFS and ECMWF guidance) confirm limited further warming potential before midnight. The outcome could shift only under an improbable late-day surge in insolation or wind reversal, scenarios not supported by current observational data or short-term model trends.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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