Current forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and regional sources project Jeddah highs of 38–41°C on August 30, with several runs reaching or exceeding 40°C under clear skies, northwest winds, and high humidity that elevates heat index values. This aligns with Jeddah’s late-August climatology of mean highs near 37–39°C and occasional peaks above 40°C driven by persistent Red Sea heat and subsidence. Model consensus supports the market’s 63.5% implied probability for 40°C or higher, though slight downward revisions in some ensembles and measurement timing at official stations introduce modest uncertainty ahead of final observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於吉達8月30日的最高溫度？
吉達8月30日的最高溫度？
40°C或以上 64%
39°C 21%
38°C 9%
37°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
30°C或以下
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
2%
37°C
5%
38°C
9%
39°C
21%
40°C或以上
64%
40°C或以上 64%
39°C 21%
38°C 9%
37°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
30°C或以下
$268 交易量
1%
31°C
$266 交易量
1%
32°C
$268 交易量
<1%
33°C
$268 交易量
<1%
34°C
$313 交易量
1%
35°C
$313 交易量
<1%
36°C
$221 交易量
2%
37°C
$72 交易量
5%
38°C
$266 交易量
9%
39°C
$574 交易量
21%
40°C或以上
$1,995 交易量
64%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and regional sources project Jeddah highs of 38–41°C on August 30, with several runs reaching or exceeding 40°C under clear skies, northwest winds, and high humidity that elevates heat index values. This aligns with Jeddah’s late-August climatology of mean highs near 37–39°C and occasional peaks above 40°C driven by persistent Red Sea heat and subsidence. Model consensus supports the market’s 63.5% implied probability for 40°C or higher, though slight downward revisions in some ensembles and measurement timing at official stations introduce modest uncertainty ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$4,825結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and regional sources project Jeddah highs of 38–41°C on August 30, with several runs reaching or exceeding 40°C under clear skies, northwest winds, and high humidity that elevates heat index values. This aligns with Jeddah’s late-August climatology of mean highs near 37–39°C and occasional peaks above 40°C driven by persistent Red Sea heat and subsidence. Model consensus supports the market’s 63.5% implied probability for 40°C or higher, though slight downward revisions in some ensembles and measurement timing at official stations introduce modest uncertainty ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,825結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETCurrent forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and regional sources project Jeddah highs of 38–41°C on August 30, with several runs reaching or exceeding 40°C under clear skies, northwest winds, and high humidity that elevates heat index values. This aligns with Jeddah’s late-August climatology of mean highs near 37–39°C and occasional peaks above 40°C driven by persistent Red Sea heat and subsidence. Model consensus supports the market’s 63.5% implied probability for 40°C or higher, though slight downward revisions in some ensembles and measurement timing at official stations introduce modest uncertainty ahead of final observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions